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Economic policy and electoral outcomes

Author

Listed:
  • Alberto Porto

    (Universidad Nacional de La Plata)

  • Agustín Lodola

    (Universidad Nacional de La Plata)

Abstract

This paper studies the connection between economic policy and electoral outcomes. In particular, it analyzes the impact of the conflict between the agro-manufacturing sector and the national government on the congressional elections for national deputies in the 134 municipalities of the province of Buenos Aires — a conflict which stemmed from the increase in taxation and the imposition of quantitative restrictions on the sector’s production and exports. The municipalities differ greatly in their productive structures; therefore, a policy that is detrimental (beneficial) to a certain sector of activity may be expected to have a greater negative (positive) impact on the election results for the governing party in those municipalities where that sector is quantitatively important. The estimations show that the relative importance of the agro-manufacturing sector, controlling for economic, social and political variables, had a positive impact on the party in office in 2007 and a negative one in 2009. An online appendix is available.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Porto & Agustín Lodola, 2013. "Economic policy and electoral outcomes," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 16, pages 333-356, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cem:jaecon:v:16:y:2013:n:2:p:333-356
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    File URL: https://ucema.edu.ar/publicaciones/download/volume16/porto.pdf
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    File URL: https://ucema.edu.ar/publicaciones/download/volume16/porto_appendix.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Diego Ferraro & Daniela Blanco & Sebasti'an Pessah & Rodrigo Castro, 2021. "Land use change in agricultural systems: an integrated ecological-social simulation model of farmer decisions and cropping system performance based on a cellular automata approach," Papers 2109.01031, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    electoral outcomes; congressional elections; economic policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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