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Changement constitutionnel et durée au pouvoir en Afrique : une approche économique

Author

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  • Joseph Keneck-Massil

Abstract

This paper empirically analyzes the constitutional change in Africa, focusing on changing the article that limits the number of mandates of the President of the Republic. The analysis distinguishes on the one hand the attempt to change the article, on the other the success to do it. It is performed on a sample of 32 countries and covers the period 1990-2010. Our results obtained from estimates of biprobit, logit and relogit models show that: (i) the personality of the President, the quality of the political system, and socio-cultural and economic factors are the main determinants that motivate the amendment of Article decision and ensure its success; (ii) the legal origin of the law is an obstacle to constitutional change; (iii) the political opposition hinders change when it is not strongly polarized, but, serves the interests of the dominant political group when it is weak and highly fragmented. Classification JEL : H11, K10, P48

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph Keneck-Massil, 2019. "Changement constitutionnel et durée au pouvoir en Afrique : une approche économique," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 129(1), pages 105-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:repdal:redp_291_0105
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hibrahim LIMI KOUOTOU, 2022. "L’effet du conflit de générations entre chef d’Etat et population sur les risques d’instabilité politique en Afrique," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 56, pages 25-40.
    2. Hibrahim, Limi Kouotou & Epo, Boniface Ngah, 2023. "Duration of Heads of State in Power and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 48(1), pages 145-172, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Africa; constitutional change; presidential term; logit; biprobit; relogit models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • K10 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - General (Constitutional Law)
    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies

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