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Petit manuel de stratégies de sortie de crise. Comment rebondir pour éviter l'enlisement ?

  • Christophe Blot
  • Jérôme Creel
  • Christine Rifflart
  • Danielle Schweisguth

La crise amorcée en 2007 à partir d'un segment du marché hypothécaire américain s'est propagée à l'ensemble des marchés financiers, entraînant un risque systémique majeur du système financier international aux conséquences graves sur l'économie réelle. De financière, la crise s'est transformée en crise de l'économie réelle. Et de liquidité, la crise est devenue crise de solvabilité, nécessitant désormais un fort engagement des secteurs publics nationaux. En revenant sur les grandes crises financières qui ont marqué le 20e siècle, cet article établit une chronologie de ces crises à partir de plusieurs critères (contexte historique, déséquilibres économiques et financiers à la veille de la crise, facteurs déclencheurs de crise, stratégies de sortie) afin d'en tirer des recommandations sur les remèdes à mettre en œuvre pour mieux en sortir. La crise amorcée en 2007 à partir d'un segment du marché hypothécaire américain s'est propagée à l'ensemble des marchés financiers, entraînant un risque systémique majeur du système financier international aux conséquences graves sur l'économie réelle. De financière, la crise s'est transformée en crise de l'économie réelle. Et de liquidité, la crise est devenue crise de solvabilité, nécessitant désormais un fort engagement des secteurs publics nationaux. En revenant sur les grandes crises financières qui ont marqué le 20e siècle, cet article établit une chronologie de ces crises à partir de plusieurs critères (contexte historique, déséquilibres économiques et financiers à la veille de la crise, facteurs déclencheurs de crise, stratégies de sortie) afin d'en tirer des recommandations sur les remèdes à mettre en œuvre pour mieux en sortir.

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Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.

Volume (Year): n° 110 (2009)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 335-381

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Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_110_0335
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm

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  1. Michael Bordo & Barry Eichengreen & Daniela Klingebiel & Maria Soledad Martinez-Peria, 2001. "Is the crisis problem growing more severe?," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 16(32), pages 51-82, 04.
  2. Ceyla Pazarbasioglu & Claudia Helene Dziobek, 1997. "Lessons From Systemic Bank Restructuring; A Survey of 24 Countries," IMF Working Papers 97/161, International Monetary Fund.
  3. Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2008. "Financial Crash, Commodity Prices and Global Imbalances," NBER Working Papers 14521, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1998. "Du bon usage des politiques monétaire et budgétaire en Europe," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(1), pages 167-196.
  5. Bernanke, Ben S, 1983. "Nonmonetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in Propagation of the Great Depression," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(3), pages 257-76, June.
  6. Burkhard Drees & Ceyla Pazarbasioglu, 1995. "The Nordic Banking Crises; Pitfalls in Financial Liberalization?," IMF Working Papers 95/61, International Monetary Fund.
  7. Willem H. Buiter, 2008. "Central banks and financial crises," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24438, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  8. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/1181 is not listed on IDEAS
  9. Jérôme Creel & Francesco Saraceno & Paola Veroni, 2007. "Has the Golden Rule of Public Finance Made a difference in the UK," Sciences Po publications 2007-13, Sciences Po.
  10. Ricardo J. Caballero & Emmanuel Farhi & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2008. "Financial Crash, Commody Prices, and Global Inbalances," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 39(2 (Fall)), pages 1-68.
  11. Jérôme Creel & Paola Monperrus-Veroni & Francesco Saraceno, 2007. "Politique budgétaire discrétionnaire en France. Les effets à court et à long terme," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 58(5), pages 1035-1053.
  12. Calomiris, Charles W & Klingebiel, Daniela & Laeven, Luc, 2004. "A taxonomy of financial crisis resolution mechanisms : cross-country experience," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3379, The World Bank.
  13. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/3181 is not listed on IDEAS
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