IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cai/popine/popu_703_0451.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation de la mortalité par la méthode de projection intercensitaire par génération : application aux Îles Salomon

Author

Listed:
  • George Groenewold
  • Jeroen Van Ginneken
  • Bart De Bruijn
  • Joop De Beer

Abstract

Developed after application of standard mortality estimation methods revealed inconsistent results, the Intercensus Cohort Component Method (ICCM) is used to estimate annual life expectancies at birth in an intercensus period. It consists of three main steps. The first step entails the iterative projection of age distributions of one census to the date of the next census, using different constant mortality assumptions, until best-fitting model life tables for men and women are found. These reflect average mortality conditions in the projection period. In the second step, the concomitant life expectancies at birth and estimates of their rate of change are used to derive regression equations, which are used to predict annual life expectancies and life tables. In a third step, the precision of estimates is assessed from results of a final projection that uses the predicted annual model life tables. ICCM-predicted life expectancies at birth for Solomon Islanders for 1999 are 61.0 and 61.5 years for men and women, respectively. These values are in accordance with estimates of fertility and migration.

Suggested Citation

  • George Groenewold & Jeroen Van Ginneken & Bart De Bruijn & Joop De Beer, 2007. "Estimation de la mortalité par la méthode de projection intercensitaire par génération : application aux Îles Salomon," Population (french edition), Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), vol. 62(3), pages 451-486.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_703_0451
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=POPU_703_0451
    Download Restriction: free

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/revue-population-2007-3-page-451.htm
    Download Restriction: free

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_703_0451. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire). General contact details of provider: http://www.cairn.info/revue-population.htm .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.