IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cai/popine/popu_1102_0401.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie. Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie

Author

Listed:
  • Arnaud Régnier-Loilier
  • Daniele Vignoli

Abstract

This article compares fertility intentions and realization in France (2005-2008) and in Italy (2003-2007), two countries with contrasting fertility models, using comparable data from the longitudinal Generations and Gender Survey (GGS). Four main findings are presented. First, the strong predictive power of negative fertility intentions and, conversely, the fact that positive intentions over-estimate actual outcomes, are highlighted. The comparison then reveals an important difference: the proportion of couples who realized their positive fertility intentions was systematically higher in France and, for those who did not intend to have a child, the proportion who went on to have one was also higher. Alongside the classic effects of age and number of children, socioeconomic factors play an important role, and less favourable situations appear to hinder the realization of intentions. The determinants of intentions are not all identical, however, and there is no single model that applies to both countries: the role of context remains primordial. Last, among couples who did not realize their intentions, some had postponed their childbearing plans while others had abandoned them altogether. Here too, the determinants are not the same in both countries. In this respect, the distinction between those who postpone and those who forego, rarely made in the literature, is an interesting question.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnaud Régnier-Loilier & Daniele Vignoli, 2011. "Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie. Intentions de fécondité et obstacles à leur réalisation en France et en Italie," Population (french edition), Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), vol. 66(2), pages 401-431.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_1102_0401
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=POPU_1102_0401
    Download Restriction: free

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/revue-population-2011-2-page-401.htm
    Download Restriction: free

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_1102_0401. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire). General contact details of provider: http://www.cairn.info/revue-population.htm .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.