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L'économie informelle en Haïti : un impact contracyclique sur le PIB ?

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  • Roseman Aspilaire

Abstract

We use a MIMIC model to estimate the size of shadow economy in Haiti as a share of GDP. The econometric modeling encapsulates nine causal variables and two indicators over the period 2000-2010. It shows that the fall in GDP, the rise in taxes and government expenditures and increasing inflation are the main factors that influence the growth of the shadow economy. This growth of the shadow economy has a knock-on effect on the unemployment rate during these last ten years. From 2007 to 2010, worse is the GDP growth per annum and better is the growth of the shadow economy ; thus, suggesting that the latter may be counter-cyclical.

Suggested Citation

  • Roseman Aspilaire, 2014. "L'économie informelle en Haïti : un impact contracyclique sur le PIB ?," Mondes en développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 0(2), pages 101-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:meddbu:med_166_0101
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Vivien OYIBO & Friedrich SCHNEIDER, 2022. "How large is the size of Côte d'Ivoire's informal sector? A MIMIC approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(4(633), W), pages 205-216, Winter.

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