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Le policy-mix de la zone euro. Une évaluation de l'impact des chocs monétaires et budgétaires

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  • Sophie Garcia
  • Adrien Verdelhan

Abstract

This paper presents a simultaneous study of fiscal and monetary shocks in the euro zone using a structural VAR model covering line of business, prices, an average real short-term interest rate and an average budget balance. The time taken for fiscal and monetary changes to affect GDP appears to be similar. The effect of a 100-basis-point cut in the three-month real interest rate is similar to the short-run effect of a 0.6-point GDP increase in the average government deficit. A structural budget deficit reflecting past discretionary fiscal measures is calculated and a policy mix indicator is constructed to better assess the euro zone?s overall economic policy trend.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Garcia & Adrien Verdelhan, 2001. "Le policy-mix de la zone euro. Une évaluation de l'impact des chocs monétaires et budgétaires," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 148(2), pages 23-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_148_0023
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    Cited by:

    1. Jérôme Héricourt, 2004. "And if one size fit all after all? A counterfactual examination of the ECB monetary policy under Duisenberg presidency," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques bla04004a, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), revised Nov 2005.
    2. Jean-François Goux, 2010. "Une approche déterministe du taux de change euro-dollar," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 195(4), pages 35-51.
    3. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2368 is not listed on IDEAS

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