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The Popularity's Determiners of Right-Wing Populism and Left-Wing Communism in France

Author

Listed:
  • Emin Agamaliyev
  • Christophe Boya
  • Julien Malizard

Abstract

L’objectif de cet article est l’élaboration d’un modèle visant à déterminer les variables susceptibles d’influencer la fonction de popularité des partis de la gauche communiste et de la droite populiste en France. Le cas français est particulièrement intéressant, puisque ces courants ont une visibilité et un poids électoral très forts. L’originalité de ce travail consiste en l’introduction de variables en dehors du champ politico-économique. Nous utilisons des données subjectives (« confiance des ménages ») et des variables sécuritaires (« atteintes aux biens »). Les résultats sont très significatifs pour ces variables à la fois sur le long que sur le court terme. / The aim of this article is to build a model to determine the variables which influence the popularity function of right populist parties and left communism parties in France. The French case is very interesting because of the electoral weight of these parties. The originality of this work consists in the introduction of variables out of the political-economic space. We use subjective data (« Household confidence ») and security variables (« Damages to goods »). The results are very significant for these variables for long and short run.

Suggested Citation

  • Emin Agamaliyev & Christophe Boya & Julien Malizard, 2008. "The Popularity's Determiners of Right-Wing Populism and Left-Wing Communism in France," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 51(4), pages 481-503.
  • Handle: RePEc:bxr:bxrceb:2013/80131
    Note: This is a translation of: Les Déterminants de la popularité entre la droite populiste et la gauche communiste en France
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Système Politique français/French Political System; Droite populiste/Right-Wing Populism; Gauche communiste/Left-wing Communism; Modèle à correction d'erreur/Error Correction Model; Popularité/Popularity;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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