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Aké Faktory Vplývajú Na Cenu Ropy Brent?

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Grešš

    (Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, Ekonomická univerzita v Bratislave)

Abstract

Počas prvej dekády 21. storočia bola cena ropy na svetovom trhu vysoko volatilná. V predkladanom príspevku sa snažíme vytvoriť model pre cenu ropy Brent, ktorý by bol schopný vysvetliť čo najviac variability vo vývoji ceny ropy Brent v období 1994 – 2011. Uvažujeme s viacerými modelmi založenými na exogénnych premenných, ktoré najviac vplývajú na cenu ropy Brent. Všetky prezentované modely sa zameriavajú na vysvetlenie ceny ropy výlučne prostredníctvom faktorov dopytu a ponuky a abstrahujú od geopolitických, prírodných a špekulačných faktorov. Prichádzame k záveru, že na cenu ropy Brent vplývajú predovšetkým faktory strany ponuky, pričom faktory strany dopytu nie sú silne korelované s cenou ropy Brent.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Grešš, 2013. "Aké Faktory Vplývajú Na Cenu Ropy Brent?," Medzinarodne vztahy (Journal of International Relations), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 11(1), pages 7-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:brv:journl:v:11:y:2013:i:1:p:7-21
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brent; cena ropy; dopyt; ekonometrické modelovanie; OPEC; ponuka; regresia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • Q31 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q37 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Issues in International Trade

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