IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Unemployment Forecast In Romania On The Short-Term


  • Mihaela, SAVU

    () ("Constantin Brâncoveanu" University of Pitesti)

  • Delia, TESELIOS

    () ("Constantin Brâncoveanu" University of Pitesti)


This paper presents two ways of forecasting the number of unemployed. One method is the one used by the National Commission for Prognosis, and the second is proposed by the authors and uses the absolute average change. The obtained results predict an increase in the number of unemployed in the next four years in Romania. Figures obtained through the proposed method are contrary to the values given by the National Commission for Prognosis, which shows a decrease of the indicator between 2013-2016. The economic situation of our country makes us believe that a reduction in the number of unemployed is beneficial, but difficult to achieve in the current period.

Suggested Citation

  • Mihaela, SAVU & Delia, TESELIOS, 2014. "Unemployment Forecast In Romania On The Short-Term," Management Strategies Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 23(1), pages 71-76.
  • Handle: RePEc:brc:journl:v:23:y:2014:i:1:p:71-76

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Marioara Iordan & Lucian-Liviu Albu & Ion Ghizdeanu & Mihaela Nona Chilian & Tiberiu Diaconescu, 2013. "Development Gaps in the Sud Muntenia Region of Romania," ERSA conference papers ersa13p446, European Regional Science Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    number of unemployed; forecasting; absolute average change;

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:brc:journl:v:23:y:2014:i:1:p:71-76. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Dan MICUDA). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.