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Nonparametric filtering, estimation and classification using neural jump ODEs

Author

Listed:
  • Heiss Jakob

    (Department of Mathematics, 31045 ETH Zurich , Zurich, Switzerland; and Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, USA)

  • Krach Florian

    (Department of Mathematics, 31045 ETH Zurich , Zurich, Switzerland)

  • Schmidt Thorsten

    (Department of Mathematics, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany)

  • Tambe-Ndonfack Félix B.

    (Department of Mathematics, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany)

Abstract

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and partial observations, operating under weak regularity assumptions. This work extends the framework to input-output systems, enabling direct applications in online filtering and classification. We establish theoretical convergence guarantees for this approach, providing a robust solution to L 2 L^{2} -optimal filtering. Empirical experiments highlight the model’s superior performance over classical parametric methods, particularly in scenarios with complex underlying distributions. These results emphasize the approach’s potential in time-sensitive domains such as finance and health monitoring, where real-time accuracy is crucial.

Suggested Citation

  • Heiss Jakob & Krach Florian & Schmidt Thorsten & Tambe-Ndonfack Félix B., 2025. "Nonparametric filtering, estimation and classification using neural jump ODEs," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 42(3-4), pages 55-90.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:strimo:v:42:y:2025:i:3-4:p:55-90:n:1001
    DOI: 10.1515/strm-2025-0001
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