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A Simulation and Empirical Study of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Stochastic Volatility Jump-Diffusion Models

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  • Bégin Jean-François

    (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, V5A 1S6, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada)

  • Boudreault Mathieu

    (Department of Mathematics, 14845 Université du Québec à Montréal , C.P. 8888, Succursale Centre-ville, H3C 3P8, Montréal, Québec, Canada)

Abstract

We investigate the behaviour of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for stochastic volatility jump-diffusion models commonly used in financial risk management. A simulation study shows the practical conditions under which the MLE behaves according to theory. In an extensive empirical study based on nine indices and more than 6000 individual stocks, we nonetheless find that the MLE is unable to replicate key higher moments. We then introduce a moment-targeted MLE – robust to model misspecification – and revisit both simulation and empirical studies. We find it performs better than the MLE, improving the management of financial risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Bégin Jean-François & Boudreault Mathieu, 2025. "A Simulation and Empirical Study of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Stochastic Volatility Jump-Diffusion Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 29(2), pages 147-175.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:29:y:2025:i:2:p:147-175:n:1005
    DOI: 10.1515/snde-2023-0028
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    maximum likelihood; jump-diffusion models; stochastic volatility; discrete nonlinear filtering; moment targeting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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