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The Effect of Child Allowances on Fertility

Author

Listed:
  • Esther Toledano

    (National Insurance Institute)

  • Roni Frish

    (Bank of Israel)

  • Noam Zussman

    (Bank of Israel)

  • Daniel Gottlieb

    (National Insurance Institute)

Abstract

This study examines the effect of child allowances in Israel on fertility in the years 1994-2007, with special reference to the cuts in allowances in 2003. Based on the administrative database of the National Insurance Institute and the significant changes in the allowances, it was found that the effect differed among population subgroups. The average high-order child allowances increased the probability of a married Arab woman giving birth by about 6-7 percent, and of a married ultra-orthodox Jewish woman doing so by about 3 percent. The allowance had no effect on other Jewish or Druze women, bringing the effect on the total population down to less than 2 percent. Older women, those with many children, with a low family income or who grew up in large families generally reacted more strongly to changes in the level of child allowances, ceteris paribus. The study was carried out shortly after the cuts in child allowances and therefore we measured only the short term effect. Furthermore, the cuts took place near turning points in the business cycle and in parallel to reductions in other social benefits, which may not be fully reflected in the estimations.

Suggested Citation

  • Esther Toledano & Roni Frish & Noam Zussman & Daniel Gottlieb, 2011. "The Effect of Child Allowances on Fertility," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 9(1), pages 103-150.
    • Handle: RePEc:boi:isrerv:v:9:y:2011:i:1:p:103-150
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter J. Stauvermann & Frank Wernitz, 2019. "Why Child Allowances Fail to Solve the Pension Problem of Aging Societies," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Barbara S. Okun, 2017. "Religiosity and Fertility: Jews in Israel," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 33(4), pages 475-507, October.

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