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Indicador de impulso fiscal para Bolivia

Author

Listed:
  • Ricardo Molina Díaz

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

El presente trabajo presenta el Indicador de Impulso Fiscal (IIF) trimestral construido para la economía boliviana, el cual se constituye en una herramienta para analizar la posición de la política fiscal en el periodo 1990-2016. La economía boliviana desde 2006 se ha caracterizado por tener un crecimiento económico estable y sostenido, impulsado principalmente por la demanda interna. No obstante, nuestra economía no está exenta de la presencia de shocks coyunturales (externos e internos) que afectan a precios y producto. Por esta razón, es importante contar con un indicador fiscal exento de la influencia del ciclo económico que permita identificar la orientación que se le otorga a las acciones de política fiscal. Específicamente, el cálculo del IIF para Bolivia se basa en la estimación del balance primario estructural, el cual se estimó ajustando los ingresos y gastos totales de cada rubro respecto del ratio entre el producto potencial y el observado.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Molina Díaz, 2017. "Indicador de impulso fiscal para Bolivia," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 26(1), pages 43-82, January -.
    • Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:26:y:2017:i:1:p:43-82
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fluctuaciones económicas; política fiscal; Bolivia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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