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En búsqueda de una relación de largo plazo entre crecimiento económico y desarrollo del sistema financiero

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  • Oscar Díaz Quevedo and Tatiana Rocabado Palomeque

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

En la última década se registró un importante crecimiento del sistema financiero que se reflejó en una mayor incidencia en el PIB. En este sentido, el objetivo del trabajo es analizar el efecto del desarrollo del sistema financiero sobre el crecimiento económico en Bolivia utilizando la metodología ARDL. El periodo de estudio abarca desde marzo de 1991 a marzo de 2015 y se estima el efecto de largo plazo de las variables que reflejan el comportamiento del sistema financiero sobre el crecimiento económico. Los resultados señalan que existe una relación positiva y significativa entre las variables que miden el desarrollo del sistema financiero (salvo el nivel del crédito) y el crecimiento económico aunque el efecto aún es moderado.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar Díaz Quevedo and Tatiana Rocabado Palomeque, 2016. "En búsqueda de una relación de largo plazo entre crecimiento económico y desarrollo del sistema financiero," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 25(2), pages 191-219, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:25:y:2016:i:2:p:191-219
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crédito al sector privado; desarrollo financiero; crecimiento;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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