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The Self-Organization And Sustainable Development Of The Global System: Model And The Main Principle Of The Simulation Modeling


  • Dmitry Chistilin

    (Dnipropetrovs’k University for Economics and Law, Department of International Economy and Economic Theory, Ukraine)


The phenomenon of states changes of the world economy during the last 200 years shows that there is a certain 70-year regularity in its development, which is expressed in increased structural complexity of the global economic system every 70 years. The development happens after certain periods of bifurcation (up to 50 years) accompanied by the lower rates of economic development, and periods of adaptation (up to 20 years) with the higher rates. The theoretical justification of this process shows that the increased structural complexity of the global economic system is the external manifestations of the self-organization process in a large complex system we call the “world economy”. This process of development is based on two fundamental laws of nature - the principle of minimum dissipation of resources, and the law of conservation of economic potential; and is realized via two types of development mechanisms – bifurcation and adaptation. The nonlinear dynamics model of the social system development , that is based by this principals is offered for the analyzing of the development process.

Suggested Citation

  • Dmitry Chistilin, 2009. "The Self-Organization And Sustainable Development Of The Global System: Model And The Main Principle Of The Simulation Modeling," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 46(3), pages 139-157.
  • Handle: RePEc:blg:reveco:v:46:y:2009:i:3:p:139-157

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Timmermann, Allan & Granger, Clive W. J., 2004. "Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 15-27.
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    Cited by:

    1. Feng Dai & Jianping Qi & Ling Liang, 2011. "Socio-economic development model based on stochastic advance-retreat course: An analysis on US economy in recent 70 years," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 38(5), pages 416-437, April.


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