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International capital mobility and unemployment dynamics: Empirical evidence from OECD countries

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  • Giovanna Vallanti

Abstract

We use a panel of 20 OECD countries over a 30‐year period to investigate empirically the implications of international capital mobility for aggregate unemployment dynamics. To this aim, we employ standard regression analysis and dynamic simulations to illustrate the channels through which international capital mobility impacts unemployment adjustments to productivity shocks and quantify its effect on unemployment volatility. We find that capital mobility plays a significant role in generating unemployment responses to idiosyncratic productivity shocks which are wider but less persistent. Moreover, the empirical evidence suggests that the responsiveness effect dominates the persistence effect, implying that higher international capital mobility increases unemployment volatility. The effect is not negligible. Monte Carlo simulations of the model show that moving from a closed economy to an open economy scenario causes the standard deviation of unemployment to increase by around 26%.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanna Vallanti, 2018. "International capital mobility and unemployment dynamics: Empirical evidence from OECD countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(11), pages 3130-3171, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:41:y:2018:i:11:p:3130-3171
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.12705
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    2. Hassan Molana & Catia Montagna & George E. Onwordi, 2021. "De-Globalization, Welfare State Reforms and Labor Market Outcomes," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(4), pages 624-655, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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