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What Is Known about Punctuated Equilibrium Theory? And What Does That Tell Us about the Construction, Validation, and Replication of Knowledge in the Policy Sciences?

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  • Johanna Kuhlmann
  • Jeroen van der Heijden

Abstract

This article reviews how the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory (PET) has been applied in studies analyzing policy change. It builds on a systematic evidence synthesis of peer†reviewed empirical literature that is based on the core readings by Frank R. Baumgartner and Bryan D. Jones. The article identifies trends in the geographical and policy focus of PET studies; maps, explores, and interrogates how core concepts of PET are applied in empirical analyses; and, finally, assesses the analytical and explanatory power of PET when applied to empirical phenomena. The article finds that PET studies have contributed a great deal to our knowledge on particular cases, but that more often than not PET is applied in a selective manner. The article deals with the implications of these findings for further theory development in policy analysis.é—´æ–­å¹³è¡¡ç †è®ºæœ‰å“ªäº›å†…å®¹ï¼Ÿå®ƒå¯¹æ”¿ç­–ç§‘å­¦ä¸­å…³äºŽçŸ¥è¯†æž„å»ºã€ éªŒè¯ å’Œå¤ åˆ¶çš„çœ‹æ³•æ˜¯ä»€ä¹ˆï¼Ÿ æœ¬æ–‡æ£€éªŒäº†é—´æ–­å¹³è¡¡ç †è®ºï¼ˆPunctuated Equilibrium Theory, PETï¼‰å¦‚ä½•è¢«åº”ç”¨äºŽåˆ†æž æ”¿ç­–å ˜åŒ–çš„ç ”ç©¶ã€‚æœ¬æ–‡åŸºäºŽä¸€é¡¹é’ˆå¯¹å Œè¡Œè¯„å®¡å®žè¯ æ–‡çŒ®çš„ç³»ç»Ÿæ€§è¯ æ ®ç»¼å ˆ, å Žè€…åŸºäºŽå¼—å…°å…‹Â·é² å§†åŠ ç‰¹çº³ï¼ˆFrank R. Baumgartnerï¼‰å’Œå¸ƒèµ–æ ©Â·ç ¼æ–¯ï¼ˆBryan D. Jones）æ å‡ºçš„æ ¸å¿ƒè§‚ç‚¹ã€‚æ–‡ç« è¯†åˆ«äº†PET ç ”ç©¶ä¸­åœ°ç †ç„¦ç‚¹å’Œæ”¿ç­–ç„¦ç‚¹çš„è¶‹åŠ¿ï¼›å Œæ—¶ç¼–æŽ’ã€ æŽ¢ç´¢ã€ è´¨ç–‘äº†PET æ ¸å¿ƒæ¦‚å¿µå¦‚ä½•åº”ç”¨äºŽå®žè¯ åˆ†æž ï¼›æœ€å Žè¯„ä¼°äº†PETçš„åˆ†æž èƒ½åŠ›å’Œè§£é‡Šèƒ½åŠ›ï¼ˆå½“åº”ç”¨äºŽå®žè¯ çŽ°è±¡æ—¶ï¼‰ã€‚æœ¬æ–‡å ‘çŽ°, PETç ”ç©¶åœ¨æŸ äº›æ¡ˆä¾‹ä¸­æ 供了相当多的知识, 但更多的情况则是, PETæ˜¯ä¸€ç§ é€‰æ‹©æ€§çš„åº”ç”¨ã€‚æ–‡ç« æ ä¾›äº†è¿™äº›ç ”ç©¶å ‘çŽ°çš„æ„ ä¹‰, ç”¨äºŽæ”¿ç­–åˆ†æž çš„è¿›ä¸€æ­¥ç †è®ºå ‘å±•ã€‚Â¿Qué Se Sabe De La Teoría Del Equilibrio Puntuado—y Qué Nos Dice Eso Acerca De La Construcción, Validación y Replicación De Conocimiento En Las Ciencias Políticas? Este artículo examina cómo la teoría del equilibrio puntuado (PET) ha sido aplicada en estudios que analizan los cambios políticos. Le agrega a una síntesis de evidencia sistemática de estudios empíricos revisados en pares que está basada en las lecturas centrales de Frank R. Baumgartner y Bryan D. Jones. El artículo identifica patrones en el enfoque geográfico y político de los estudios PET; esquematiza, explora e interroga cómo los conceptos centrales de la PET se aplican a los análisis empíricos; y finalmente, evalúa el poder analítico y explicativo de la PET cuando se aplica a fenómenos empíricos. El artículo encuentra que los estudios de PET han contribuido mucho a nuestro conocimiento de casos particulares, pero que a menudo la PET se aplica de una manera selectiva. El artículo tiene que ver con las implicaciones de estos hallazgos para avanzar el desarrollo de las teorías en el análisis político.

Suggested Citation

  • Johanna Kuhlmann & Jeroen van der Heijden, 2018. "What Is Known about Punctuated Equilibrium Theory? And What Does That Tell Us about the Construction, Validation, and Replication of Knowledge in the Policy Sciences?," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 35(2), pages 326-347, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:revpol:v:35:y:2018:i:2:p:326-347
    DOI: 10.1111/ropr.12283
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    Cited by:

    1. Inke Torfs & Ellen Wayenberg & Lieselot Danneels, 2023. "Institutional shifts and punctuated patterns in digital policy," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 40(3), pages 363-388, May.
    2. Omri Carmon & Itay Fischhendler, 2021. "A friction perspective for negotiating renewable energy targets: the Israeli case," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 54(2), pages 313-344, June.
    3. Travis Sharp, 2019. "Wars, presidents, and punctuated equilibriums in US defense spending," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 52(3), pages 367-396, September.

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