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Financial Development and Economic Growth: An Egg‐and‐Chicken Problem?

Author

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  • Jordan Z. Shan
  • Alan G. Morris
  • Fiona Sun

Abstract

This study uses a Granger causality procedure to investigate the relationship between financial development and economic growth. The authors estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) model for nine OECD countries and China. They argue that a time‐series approach is superior to a cross‐sectional one and that the VAR framework avoids technical problems common in other time‐series models. Evidence is presented of bidirectional causality between financial development and growth in half of the countries and reverse causality in three others. There is little support for the hypothesis that finance “leads” growth, and caution must be exercised in making general conclusions about this relationship.

Suggested Citation

  • Jordan Z. Shan & Alan G. Morris & Fiona Sun, 2001. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: An Egg‐and‐Chicken Problem?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 443-454, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:9:y:2001:i:3:p:443-454
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9396.00291
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    Cited by:

    1. Jingzhu Chen & Yuemei Ji, 2022. "Is Finance Good for Growth? New Evidence from China," CESifo Working Paper Series 9882, CESifo.
    2. Brian Muyambiri & Nicholas Odhiambo, 2017. "Financial Development, Savings and Investment in South Africa: A Dynamic Causality Test," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 1-10, September.
    3. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Is export-led growth hypothesis still valid for sub-Saharan African countries? New evidence from panel data analysis," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 77-93, April.
    4. Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2021. "A test of exports-led growth hypothesis in Sub-Saharan African countries: Evidence from panel data analysis," Working Papers 27170, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    5. António Afonso & M. Carmen Blanco-Arana, 2022. "Financial and economic development in the context of the global 2008-09 financial crisis," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 30-42.
    6. Alessandro Giovannini & Maurizio Iacopetta & Raoul Minetti, 2013. "Financial Markets, Banks, and Growth : Disentangling the links," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 105-147.
    7. Ali Gulzar, 2020. "Financial Sector Reforms and its Impact on Economy of Pakistan," Asian Journal of Law and Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, August.
    8. Tebogo Tshepo Kubanji & Simangaliso Biza-Khupe & Mogotsinyana Mapharing, 2021. "The Causality Relationship Between Financial Sector Profitability and the Botswana Economy," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(3), pages 381-392, May.
    9. Bofinger, Peter & Geißendörfer, Lisa & Haas, Thomas & Mayer, Fabian, 2023. "Credit as an instrument for growth: A monetary explanation of the Chinese growth story," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 107, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    10. Muyambiri Brian & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2018. "Financial Development and Investment in Botswana: A Multivariate Causality Test," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 18(2), pages 72-89, December.
    11. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, "undated". "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid For Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence From Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AESRI01, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    12. Kulvinder Purewal & Hazwan Haini, 2022. "Re-examining the effect of financial markets and institutions on economic growth: evidence from the OECD countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 311-333, February.
    13. Ismail Senturk & Fiaz Ahmad Sulehri & Syeda Mehak Ali, 2022. "Financial Development and Innovation Led-Growth: A Case of Selected Developing Countries," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 8(3), pages 81-97, September.
    14. Kluge, Jan & Lappoehn, Sarah & Plank, Kerstin, 2020. "The Determinants of Economic Competitiveness," IHS Working Paper Series 24, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    15. Ekundayo Peter Mesagan & Xuan Vinh Vo & Precious Muhammed Emmanuel, 2023. "The technological role in the growth-enhancing financial development: evidence from African nations," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 657-680, February.
    16. Demetris Koursaros & Nektarios Michail & Christos Savva, 2021. "Tell me where to stop: thresholds in the bank lending and output growth relationship," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1845-1873, April.
    17. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/6o65lgig8d0qcro9p14jk1001 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid for Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AESRI-2021-02, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jan 2021.
    19. Kong Yusheng & Jonas Bawuah & Agyeiwaa O. Nkwantabisa & Samuel O. O. Atuahene & George O. Djan, 2021. "Financial development and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Sub‐Saharan Africa," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3396-3416, July.
    20. Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2021. "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid For Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence From Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AERI0121, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised 25 Aug 2021.
    21. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Is export-led growth hypothesis still valid for sub-Saharan African countries? New evidence from panel data analysis," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 77-93, April.

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