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A Band Spectral Analysis of Exports and Economic Growth in the United States

  • Atesoglu, H Sonmez
  • Vilasuso, Jon

This paper examines the role of exports in aggregate economic growth in the United States using band spectral regression. The findings reveal a predictable relationship between long-run frequency components of real export growth and real GDP growth over the post-Bretton Woods period of flexible exchange rates. The study fails to uncover a significant relationship between long-run frequency components of the terms of trade and real output. Overall, the findings support the export-led growth hypothesis, and dismiss long-run movements in the terms of trade as an important determinant of real output growth. Copyright 1999 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Article provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Review of International Economics.

Volume (Year): 7 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 140-52

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Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:7:y:1999:i:1:p:140-52
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