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Do economic crises lead tourists to closer destinations? Italy at the time of the Great Recession

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  • Gianluca Cafiso
  • Roberto Cellini
  • Tiziana Cuccia

Abstract

This article studies how distance influences the choice of tourists about their holiday destination during times of economic crisis. In particular, we analyse the specific case of domestic tourism flows across Italian regions during the 2000–2012 period by estimating a gravity model. Our estimations yield the effect of distance year by year. The output suggests that distance gained weight during the years of the Great Recession and therefore confirms, from a macroeconomic perspective, that tourists tend to choose closer destinations in times of crisis. Este artículo estudia la influencia de la distancia en la elección de los turistas sobre el destino de sus vacaciones en tiempos de crisis económica. En particular, se analizó el caso específico de los flujos de turismo interno en las regiones italianas durante el período 2000‐2012, mediante la estimación de un modelo de gravedad. El resultado de las estimaciones es el efecto de la distancia año por año. El resultado sugiere que el peso de la distancia aumentó durante los años de la Gran Recesión y por lo tanto confirma que, desde una perspectiva macroeconómica, los turistas tienden a elegir destinos más cercanos en tiempos de crisis. 本稿では、経済危機の期間における旅行者の目的地の選択に、行程の距離がどのように影響するかを検討する。2000年から2012年までのイタリアの地方の国内旅行者のフローの事例で、重力モデルによる推計により分析する。推計は、距離の効果が年々増えているという結果になった。結果は、グレート・リセッションの期間は、距離が重みを増しており、マクロ経済学的観点では、危機の間は旅行者がより短い行程を選択する傾向があることが確認できる。

Suggested Citation

  • Gianluca Cafiso & Roberto Cellini & Tiziana Cuccia, 2018. "Do economic crises lead tourists to closer destinations? Italy at the time of the Great Recession," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 97(2), pages 369-386, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:97:y:2018:i:2:p:369-386
    DOI: 10.1111/pirs.12242
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    Cited by:

    1. Boto-García, David & Mayor, Matías, 2022. "Domestic tourism and the resilience of hotel demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Li, Xun & Gong, Jian & Gao, Baojun & Yuan, Peiwen, 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 on tourists' destination preferences: Evidence from China," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Duro Moreno, Juan Antonio & Turrión Prats, Judith, 2018. "Tourism seasonality worldwide," Working Papers 2072/351586, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    4. Martin Thomas Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2022. "Domestic tourism demand in the North and the South of Europe in the Covid-19 summer of 2020," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(2), pages 537-553, October.
    5. Nava, Consuelo R. & Osti, Linda & Zoia, Maria Grazia, 2022. "Forecasting Domestic Tourism across Regional Destinations through MIDAS Regressions," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202207, University of Turin.
    6. Elisa Panzera & Thomas de Graaff & Henri L.F. de Groot, 2021. "European cultural heritage and tourism flows: The magnetic role of superstar World Heritage Sites," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(1), pages 101-122, February.
    7. Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2023. "Uneven domestic tourism demand in times of pandemic," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 596-611, May.
    8. Salvatore Costantino & Maria Francesca Cracolici & J. Paul Elhorst, 2023. "A spatial origin‐destination approach for the analysis of local tourism demand in Italy," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(2), pages 393-419, April.
    9. Yue Pan & Zhaolong An & Jianpu Li & Gangmin Weng & Lingyan Li, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Tourism Cooperation Network in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-20, February.
    10. David Boto-García & Veronica Leoni, 2023. "Distance Traveled in Times of Pandemic: An Endogenous Switching Regression Approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 571-595, May.
    11. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio à lvarez, 2023. "Assessing the ability of regions to attract foreign tourists: The case of Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 788-811, May.
    12. Younghyun Kwon & Jaewon Lim & Euijune Kim, 2020. "Diversifying visitor demand and its impact on Las Vegas's tourism industry during recovery from the Great Recession," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), pages 249-266, April.

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