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Delayed Marriage and Very Low Fertility in Pacific Asia

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  • Gavin W. Jones

Abstract

The general decline in fertility levels in Pacific Asia has in its vanguard countries where fertility rates are among the lowest in the world. A related trend is toward delayed marriage and nonmarriage. When prevalence of cohabitation in European countries is allowed for, levels of "effective singlehood" in many countries of Pacific Asia have run ahead of those in northern and western Europe. This raises questions about the extent to which delayed marriage has been implicated in fertility declines, and whether the same factors are leading both to delayed marriage and to lowered fertility within marriage. The article argues that involuntary nonmarriage is likely to be more common in Pacific Asia than in Western countries, and that resultant involuntary childlessness plays a substantial role in the low fertility rates currently observed. Copyright 2007 The Population Council, Inc..

Suggested Citation

  • Gavin W. Jones, 2007. "Delayed Marriage and Very Low Fertility in Pacific Asia," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 33(3), pages 453-478.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:popdev:v:33:y:2007:i:3:p:453-478
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    Cited by:

    1. Felicia Tian, 2016. "Transition to adulthood in China in 1982−2005: A structural view," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 34(16), pages 451-466, March.
    2. Wei-hsin Yu & Janet Chen-Lan Kuo, 2016. "Explaining the Effect of Parent-Child Coresidence on Marriage Formation: The Case of Japan," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 53(5), pages 1283-1318, October.
    3. Jeong Hwa Ho, 2015. "The problem group? Psychological wellbeing of unmarried people living alone in the Republic of Korea," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 32(47), pages 1299-1328, June.
    4. S. Philip Morgan & Guo Zhigang & Sarah R. Hayford, 2009. "China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 35(3), pages 605-629.
    5. Yen-hsin Alice Cheng & Nancy S. Landale, 2009. "Adolescent precursors of early union formation among Asian American and Whites," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2009-020, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    6. Social Policy and Population Section, Social Development Division, ESCAP., 2012. "Asia-Pacific Population Journal Volume 27, No. 1," Asia-Pacific Population Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 27(1), pages 1-148, June.
    7. Sam Hyun Yoo, 2016. "Postponement and recuperation in cohort marriage: The experience of South Korea," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(35), pages 1045-1078, October.
    8. Doo-Sub Kim & Alessandra De Rose & Giuseppe Gabrielli & Anna Paterno, 2015. "Effects Of The Economic Crisis On Fertility:A Comparison Between South Korea And Italy," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - Italian Review of Economics, Demography and Statistics, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 69(2), pages 223-234, July-Sept.
    9. repec:spr:jopoec:v:30:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s00148-017-0640-5 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Christophe Guilmoto, 2012. "Skewed Sex Ratios at Birth and Future Marriage Squeeze in China and India, 2005–2100," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 49(1), pages 77-100, February.
    11. Philip Anglewicz & Mark VanLandingham & Dusita Phuengsamran, 2014. "Rural-to-Urban Migration and Sexual Debut in Thailand," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 51(5), pages 1955-1976, October.
    12. Christophe Z. Guilmoto, 2009. "The Sex Ratio Transition in Asia," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 35(3), pages 519-549.
    13. repec:kap:poprpr:v:36:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s11113-017-9433-5 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Tomas Frejka & Gavin W. Jones & Jean-Paul Sardon, 2010. "East Asian Childbearing Patterns and Policy Developments," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 36(3), pages 579-606.
    15. Sieds, 2015. "Complete Volume LXIX n. 2 2015," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - Italian Review of Economics, Demography and Statistics, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 69(2), pages 1-244, April-Jun.

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