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Foreign Threats, Technological Progress And The Rise And Decline Of Imperial China




This paper addresses why technological progress occurred off-and-on in Imperial China but came to a standstill at around the time of the European Renaissance, leading to the decline of Imperial China. We suggest that the threat of war could have induced innovative activities as well as the accumulation of public capital, which led to the development of a modern sector in Imperial China. Using numerical simulation, we find a stagnated equilibrium in an agrarian economy under low threats of war and another with a high level of technological knowledge, public capital and a vibrant modern sector under strong threats. Long periods of peace would have the opposite effect. Some supportive historical evidence from urbanization is provided.
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  • Kenneth S. Chan & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2012. "Foreign Threats, Technological Progress And The Rise And Decline Of Imperial China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 280-303, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:pacecr:v:17:y:2012:i:2:p:280-303
    DOI: j.1468-0106.2012.00583.x

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    Cited by:

    1. Kenneth S. Chan & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2014. "The Growth and Decline of the Modern Sector and the Merchant Class in Imperial China," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 13-28, February.
    2. repec:bla:pacecr:v:22:y:2017:i:3:p:410-434 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Emmanouil M. L. Economou & Nicholas C. Kyriazis, 2016. "The Achaeans and the Europeans: An Interdisciplinary Comparison of Federations," International Journal of Social Science Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 4(2), pages 8-23, September.

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