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Crude oil price dynamics and transmission mechanism of the macroeconomic indicators in Nigeria

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  • Joseph Ayoola Omojolaibi

Abstract

The preoccupation of this study is to investigate the dynamic impacts of crude oil price on the economic growth of Nigeria. The technique of estimation used in this study is the structural vector autoregressive type. This method is applied to articulate the transmission mechanism of macroeconomic effects of domestic price level, economic output, money supply and volatile crude oil price in Nigeria. The study sample covers the period between 1985 and 2010. The data used are on a quarterly basis. The results of both the impulse response functions and the forecast error variance decompositions indicate that domestic shocks are responsible for a reasonable portion of crude oil price fluctuations. Although crude oil price volatility has significant positive impacts on economic output, however, money supply shocks are the main cause of gross domestic product fluctuations. This study concludes that crude oil price has very important impact on the Nigerian economy and the monetary policy is the channel through which this impact transmits.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph Ayoola Omojolaibi, 2014. "Crude oil price dynamics and transmission mechanism of the macroeconomic indicators in Nigeria," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 38(3), pages 341-355, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:opecrv:v:38:y:2014:i:3:p:341-355
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/opec.12031
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    Cited by:

    1. Patricks Ogiji & Tersoo Shimonkabir Shitile & Nuruddeen Usman, 2022. "Estimating asymmetries in monetary policy reaction function: an oil price augmented Taylor type rule for Nigeria under unconventional regime," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1655-1672, August.
    2. Lawrence U. Okoye & Alexander E. Omankhanlen & Johnson I. Okoh & Ngozi B. Adeleye & Felix N. Ezeji & Gideon K. Ezu & Benjamin I. Ehikioya, 2021. "Analyzing the Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 378-387.
    3. Chinazaekpere Nwani & Eugene Iheanacho & Chijioke Okogbue, 2016. "Oil price and the development of financial intermediation in developing oil-exporting countries: Evidence from Nigeria," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1185237-118, December.
    4. Ahmed Rufai Mohammad & Mohamad Helmi Bin Hidthiir & Alias Bin Mat Nor, 2019. "Assessing the Effect of Change in Oil Prices, Macroeconomics on the Banking Sector Stability in Oil-Producing Countries," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(4), pages 88-93, December.
    5. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Alarudeen Aminu & Abiodun O. Folawewo, 2020. "Investigating the relationship between changes in oil prices and unemployment rate in Nigeria: linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approaches," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, December.
    6. Lawrence U. Okoye & Alexander E. Omankhanlen & Johnson I. Okoh & Uchechukwu E. Okorie & Felix N. Ezeji & Benjamin I. Ehikioya & Gideon K. Ezu, 2021. "Effect of Energy Utilization and Financial Development on Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 392-401.

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