Regional Insurance against Asymmetric Shocks: An Empirical Study for the European Community
The loss of the exchange rate as an independent policy instrument implied by European monetary union calls for an insurance scheme as a buffer against asymmetric shocks. The authors study the performance of such a system using historical data. A reasonable insurance scheme can be implemented on the basis of a fairly complex econometric formula. Simplifying the computation of the transfers severely worsens the performance of the system. Forcing the system to balance financially is not a critical constraint. The simulations show that stabilizing asymmetric shocks around a common trend may amplify the univariate variance of GDP for some member countries. Copyright 1998 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester
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Volume (Year): 66 (1998)
Issue (Month): 3 (June)
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