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Fiscal Policy and the Masstricht Solvency Criteria

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  • Barrell, Ray
  • Sefton, James

Abstract

This paper examines the implications of fiscal policy and growing debt stocks for the economy. The authors construct an extended Mundell-Fleming model, along the lines of W. H. Buiter and M. Miller (1981), that allows them to investigate the effects of fiscal policy and debt accumulation on an open economy. In order to analyze the implications of fiscal restrictions such as the Maastricht convergence criteria, they undertake some policy analyses on their estimated model NiGEM. This model closely resembles the theoretical construct in its long-run structure but allows for crucial differences in the speed of dynamic responses in a number of markets. The authors find that, although in the long term the level of activity is unaffected, the fiscal restrictions will reduce output and raise unemployment in the short to medium term. Copyright 1997 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

Suggested Citation

  • Barrell, Ray & Sefton, James, 1997. "Fiscal Policy and the Masstricht Solvency Criteria," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 65(3), pages 259-279, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:manch2:v:65:y:1997:i:3:p:259-79
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    Cited by:

    1. Ian Hurst & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning, 2016. "The monetary and fiscal framework of the EMU in times of high debt and constrained interest rates," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 467, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    2. Dury, Karen & Pina, Alvaro M., 2003. "Fiscal policy in EMU: simulating the operation of the Stability Pact," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 179-206, February.
    3. Jérôme Creel, 2002. "Strategic interactions between monetary and fiscal policies: a case study for the European Stability Pact," Post-Print hal-00972776, HAL.
    4. Jérôme Creel, 1999. "The stability pact and feedback policy effects," Working Papers hal-01064862, HAL.
    5. Barrell, Ray & Pina, Alvaro M., 2004. "How important are automatic stabilisers in Europe? A stochastic simulation assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-35, January.
    6. Jérôme Creel, 2001. "Faut-il contraindre la politique budgétaire en Union monétaire ?. Les enseignements d'une maquette simulée," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 77(2), pages 199-249.
    7. VAN AARLE, Bas & ENGWERDA, Jacob C. & PLASMANS, Joseph E.J. & WEEREN, Arie, 1999. "Monetary and fiscal policy design under EMU: a dynamic game approach," Working Papers 1999041, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics.
    8. Ulrich Fritsche & Camille Logeay & Kirsten Lommatzsch & Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan & Rudolf Zwiener unter Mitarb. von Cansel Kiziltepe & Christian Proano-Acosta, 2005. "Auswirkungen von länderspezifischen Differenzen in der Lohn-, Preisniveau- und Produktivitätsentwicklung auf Wachstum und Beschäftigung in den Ländern des Euroraums: Endbericht ; Forschungsprojekt im ," DIW Berlin: Politikberatung kompakt, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 8, number pbk8.
    9. Fabrice Capoen & Jérôme Creel, 2007. "Efficiency of stability-oriented institutions: the European case," Sciences Po publications N°2007-06, Sciences Po.
    10. Ray Barrell & Ian Hurst & Simon Kirby, 2008. "Financial Crises, Regulation and Growth," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 206(1), pages 56-65, October.
    11. Oriol Carreras & Simon Kirby & Iana Liadze & Rebecca Piggott, 2016. "Fiscal Policy Spillovers," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 468, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    12. Ray Barrell & Dr Ian Hurst, 1999. "An encompassing framework for evaluating simple monetary policy rules," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 156, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    13. Bas Van Aarle & Jacob Engwerda & Joseph Plasmans & Arie Weeren, 2001. "Macroeconomic Policy Interaction under EMU: A Dynamic Game Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 29-60, January.
    14. Ray Barrell & Knut A. Magnussen, 1996. "Counterfactual Analyses of Oil Price Shocks using a World Model," Discussion Papers 177, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    15. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/2943 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Barrell, Ray & Pain, Nigel & Hurst, Ian, 1996. "German Monetary Union: An historical counterfactual analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 499-518, October.
    17. Barrell, Ray & Dury, Karen & Hurst, Ian, 2003. "International monetary policy coordination: an evaluation using a large econometric model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 507-527, May.
    18. Oriol Carreras & Iana Liadze & Simon Kirby & Rebecca Piggott, 2016. "Quantifying Fiscal Multipliers," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 469, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    19. Karen Dury & Ray Barell & Ian Hurst, 2000. "An Encompassing Framework For Evaluating Simple Monetary Policy Rules," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 184, Society for Computational Economics.
    20. Mitchell, Peter R. & Sault, Joanne E. & Wallis, Kenneth F., 2000. "Fiscal policy rules in macroeconomic models: principles and practice," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 171-193, April.
    21. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Higher economic growth through macroeconomic policy coordination? The combination of wage policy and monetary policy," Kiel Discussion Papers 399, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    22. Creel, Jerome & Capoen, Fabrice & Cussy, Pascal & Lenoble-Liaud, Helene, 2003. "How to manage financial shocks: Intra-European vs. international monetary coordination," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 431-455, December.

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