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Calibrating the excess mass and dip tests of modality

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  • M.‐Y. Cheng
  • P. Hall

Abstract

Nonparametric tests of modality are a distribution‐free way of assessing evidence about inhomogeneity in a population, provided that the potential sub populations are sufficiently well separated. They include the excess mass and dip tests, which are equivalent in univariate settings and are alternatives to the bandwidth test. Only very conservative forms of the excess mass and dip tests are available at presently, however, and for that reason they are generally not competitive with the bandwidth test. In the present paper we develop a practical approach to calibrating the excess mass and dip tests to improve their level accuracy and power substantially. Our method exploits the fact that the limiting distribution of the excess mass statistic under the null hypothesis depends on unknowns only through a constant, which may be estimated. Our calibrated test exploits this fact and is shown to have greater power and level accuracy than the bandwidth test has. The latter tends to be quite conservative, even in an asymptotic sense. Moreover, the calibrated test avoids difficulties that the bandwidth test has with spurious modes in the tails, which often must be discounted through subjective intervention of the experimenter.

Suggested Citation

  • M.‐Y. Cheng & P. Hall, 1998. "Calibrating the excess mass and dip tests of modality," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 60(3), pages 579-589.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:60:y:1998:i:3:p:579-589
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9868.00141
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    Cited by:

    1. Cavallo, Alberto & Rigobon, Roberto, 2011. "The Distribution of the Size of Price Changes," Working Papers 2011-011, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    2. Jan Beran & Klaus Telkmann, 2021. "On inference for modes under long memory," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 429-455, June.
    3. Konstantin Gluschenko, 2016. "Distribution dynamics of Russian regional prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 1193-1213, November.
    4. James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
    5. Daniel J. Henderson, 2010. "A test for multimodality of regression derivatives with application to nonparametric growth regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 458-480.
    6. Debreceny, Roger S. & Gray, Glen L., 2010. "Data mining journal entries for fraud detection: An exploratory study," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 157-181.
    7. Fuentes, Raúl & Mishra, Tapas & Scavia, Javier & Parhi, Mamata, 2014. "On optimal long-term relationship between TFP, institutions, and income inequality under embodied technical progress," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 89-100.
    8. Mikael Juselius & Nikola Tarashev, 2022. "When uncertainty decouples expected and unexpected losses," BIS Working Papers 995, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Daniel J. Henderson & Christopher F. Parmeter & R. Robert Russell, 2008. "Modes, weighted modes, and calibrated modes: evidence of clustering using modality tests," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 607-638.
    10. Di, J. & Kolaczyk, E., 2010. "Complexity-penalized estimation of minimum volume sets for dependent data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(9), pages 1910-1926, October.
    11. Suren Basov & Svetlana Danilkina & David Prentice, 2020. "When Does Variety Increase with Quality?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 56(3), pages 463-487, May.
    12. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2022_004 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Feng Zhu, 2005. "A nonparametric analysis of the shape dynamics of the US personal income distribution: 1962-2000," BIS Working Papers 184, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Wang, Xiaogang & Qiu, Weiliang & Zamar, Ruben H., 2007. "CLUES: A non-parametric clustering method based on local shrinking," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 286-298, September.
    15. Ray, Surajit & Ren, Dan, 2012. "On the upper bound of the number of modes of a multivariate normal mixture," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 41-52.
    16. Jose Ameijeiras-Alonso & Rosa M. Crujeiras & Alberto Rodríguez-Casal, 2019. "Mode testing, critical bandwidth and excess mass," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 28(3), pages 900-919, September.
    17. Banerjee, Trambak & Mukherjee, Gourab & Radchenko, Peter, 2017. "Feature screening in large scale cluster analysis," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 191-212.
    18. Konstantinos Chatzimichael & Dimitris Christopoulos & Spiro Stefanou & Vangelis Tzouvelekas, 2020. "Irrigation practices, water effectiveness and productivity measurement [Toward an understanding of technology adoption: risk, learning, and neighborhood effects]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(2), pages 467-498.
    19. Konstantinos Chatzimichael & Dimitris Christopoulos & Spyro Stefanou & Vangelis Tzouvelekas, 2015. "Irrigation Technology Adoption, Water Effectiveness and Productivity Measurement," Working Papers 1506, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    20. Polonik, Wolfgang & Wang, Zailong, 2005. "Estimation of regression contour clusters--an application of the excess mass approach to regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 227-249, June.
    21. Mikael Juselius & Nikola Tarashev, 2022. "When uncertainty decouples expected and unexpected losses," BIS Working Papers 995, Bank for International Settlements.
    22. Xiaochun Meng & James W. Taylor & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Siran Li, 2020. "Scores for Multivariate Distributions and Level Sets," Papers 2002.09578, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    23. Li Lin, 2024. "Quantum Probability Theoretic Asset Return Modeling: A Novel Schr\"odinger-Like Trading Equation and Multimodal Distribution," Papers 2401.05823, arXiv.org.

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