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Credit Spreads And The Zero‐Coupon Treasury Spot Curve

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  • Nicolas Papageorgiou
  • Frank S. Skinner

Abstract

We examine the relation between credit spreads on industrial bonds and the underlying Treasury term structure. We use zero‐coupon spot rates to eliminate the coupon bias and to allow for a consistent study both within and across the different credit ratings. Our results indicate that the level and slope of the Treasury term structure are negatively correlated with changes in the credit spread on investment‐grade corporate bonds. We also find that the relation between credit spreads and the Treasury term structure is relatively stable through time. This is good news for value‐at‐risk calculations, as this suggests that the correlations among assets of different credit classes are stable; therefore use of historic correlations to model spread relations can be valid.

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  • Nicolas Papageorgiou & Frank S. Skinner, 2006. "Credit Spreads And The Zero‐Coupon Treasury Spot Curve," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 421-439, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:29:y:2006:i:3:p:421-439
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2006.00187.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Ramaprasad Bhar, 2010. "Stochastic Filtering with Applications in Finance," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7736, December.
    2. Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2015. "Decomposing euro area sovereign spreads: credit, liquidity and convenience," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1021, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Kraft, Holger & Munk, Claus, 2007. "Bond durations: Corporates vs. Treasuries," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 3720-3741, December.
    4. Gann, Philipp, 2008. "Der Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process als regulatorischer Treiber eines aktiven Kreditportfoliomanagements," Discussion Papers in Business Administration 4831, University of Munich, Munich School of Management.
    5. Guidolin, Massimo & Tam, Yu Man, 2013. "A yield spread perspective on the great financial crisis: Break-point test evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 18-39.
    6. Gann, Philipp & Laut, Amelie, 2008. "Einflussfaktoren auf den Credit Spread von Unternehmensanleihen," Discussion Papers in Business Administration 4231, University of Munich, Munich School of Management.
    7. Kedar nath Mukherjee, 2019. "Demystifying Yield Spread on Corporate Bonds Trades in India," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 26(2), pages 253-284, June.
    8. Ramaprasad Bhar & Nedim Handzic, 2011. "A Multifactor Model of Credit Spreads," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 18(1), pages 105-127, March.
    9. Leonard Tchuindjo, 2008. "Factors' correlation in the Heath–Jarrow–Morton interest rate model," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 359-368, July.

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