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Operating Hedge and Gross Profitability Premium

Author

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  • LEONID KOGAN
  • JUN LI
  • HAROLD H. ZHANG

Abstract

We show theoretically that variable production costs reduce systematic risk of firms' cash flows if capital and variable inputs are complementary in firms' production and input prices are procyclical. In our dynamic model, this operating hedge effect is weaker for more profitable firms, giving rise to a gross profitability premium. Moreover, gross profitability and value factors are distinct and negatively correlated, and their premia are not captured by the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). We estimate the model by simulated method of moments, and find that its main implications for stock returns and cash flow dynamics are quantitatively consistent with the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonid Kogan & Jun Li & Harold H. Zhang, 2023. "Operating Hedge and Gross Profitability Premium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(6), pages 3387-3422, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:78:y:2023:i:6:p:3387-3422
    DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13275
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    Cited by:

    1. Erica X. N. Li & Guoliang Ma & Shujing Wang & Cindy Yu, 2026. "Fundamental Anomalies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 72(2), pages 1636-1657, February.

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