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Federal Reserve Monetary Policy and Industry Stock Returns

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  • Gerald R. Jensen
  • Robert R. Johnson
  • W. Scott Bauman

Abstract

Recent studies identify stock return patterns associated with changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy. We find that these return patterns prevail across sixteen industry stock indices. However, significant cross‐industry variation exists as the apparel industry exhibits mean annual returns that are 50% higher under an expansive Fed policy than under a restrictive policy, while the same return difference for the oil industry is only 20%. This cross‐industry variation suggests that monetary conditions may be used by investors to estimate different expected returns across industries. Furthermore, the findings support the view that monetary considerations should be considered in ex ante asset pricing models such as the CAPM.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerald R. Jensen & Robert R. Johnson & W. Scott Bauman, 1997. "Federal Reserve Monetary Policy and Industry Stock Returns," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 629-644, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:24:y:1997:i:5:p:629-644
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-5957.00125
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    Cited by:

    1. Nikkinen, Jussi & Sahlstrom, Petri, 2004. "Impact of the federal open market committee's meetings and scheduled macroeconomic news on stock market uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12.
    2. Tori, Cynthia Royal, 2001. "Federal Open Market Committee meetings and stock market performance," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-4), pages 163-171.
    3. Ming-Hsiang Chen, 2010. "Federal Reserve Monetary Policy and US Hospitality Stock Returns," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(4), pages 833-852, December.

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