IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/irvfin/v25y2025i2ne70023.html

Examining the impact of domestic monetary policy on foreign portfolio investment flows to India

Author

Listed:
  • Virender Kumar

Abstract

While the determinants of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows to India have been extensively analyzed, research has largely failed to document the impact and the relative importance of domestic monetary policy shock vis‐à‐vis other variables in causing FPI flows to India. This study adds to the literature by empirically examining the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock on FPI flows to India using the structural VAR methodology. It further disaggregates the analysis of FPI flows into portfolio equity flows (PEF) and portfolio debt flows (PDF) to investigate whether a domestic monetary policy shock affects the two flows similarly or differently. The study finds that domestic monetary policy shock (measured through shocks to interest rate differential and domestic money supply growth) significantly influences FPI flows to India, explaining about 10.1% of the total variation in these flows. The disaggregated analysis of FPI also reveals similar results for both portfolio equity flows and portfolio debt flows; however, the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock is greater on the debt component of FPI (portfolio debt flows) than on the equity component of FPI (portfolio equity flows).

Suggested Citation

  • Virender Kumar, 2025. "Examining the impact of domestic monetary policy on foreign portfolio investment flows to India," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 25(2), June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:25:y:2025:i:2:n:e70023
    DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70023
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70023
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/irfi.70023?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pagliari, Maria Sole & Ahmed Hannan, Swarnali, 2024. "The volatility of capital flows in emerging markets: Measures and determinants," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    2. Christopher A. Sims, 1986. "Are forecasting models usable for policy analysis?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 10(Win), pages 2-16.
    3. Erlend Nier & Tahsin Saadi Sedik & Tomas Mondino, 2014. "Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed?," IMF Working Papers 2014/196, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Kuzman, Tanja & Lazarevic, Jelisaveta & Nedeljkovic, Milan, 2022. "Capital flows liberalisation and macroprudential policies: The effects on credit cycles in emerging economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 602-619.
    5. Robin Koepke, 2019. "What Drives Capital Flows To Emerging Markets? A Survey Of The Empirical Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 516-540, April.
    6. Kumar, Virender & Dua, Pami, 2024. "What explains foreign portfolio investment inflows to BRICS countries?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 32-46.
    7. Boonman, Tjeerd M., 2023. "Portfolio capital flows before and after the Global Financial Crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    8. Guillermo A. Calvo & Leonardo Leiderman & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1993. "Capital Inflows and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Latin America: The Role of External Factors," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 40(1), pages 108-151, March.
    9. Carlos Andrés Amaya & Peter Rowland, 2004. "Determinants of Investment Flows into Emerging Markets," Borradores de Economia 313, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Reinhart, Carmen, 1999. "Capital flows to developing economies: Implications for saving, investment, and growth (a comment)," MPRA Paper 13204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Choi, Sangyup & Ciminelli, Gabriele & Furceri, Davide, 2023. "Is domestic uncertainty a local pull factor driving foreign capital inflows? New cross-country evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    12. Ahmed, Shaghil & Zlate, Andrei, 2014. "Capital flows to emerging market economies: A brave new world?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 221-248.
    13. Montoro, Carlos & Ortiz, Marco, 2023. "The portfolio balance channel of capital flows and foreign exchange intervention in a small open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    14. Ledóchowski, Michał & Żuk, Piotr, 2022. "What drives portfolio capital inflows into emerging market economies? The role of the Fed's and ECB's balance sheet policies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    15. Koepke, Robin, 2018. "Fed policy expectations and portfolio flows to emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 170-194.
    16. Kiendrebeogo, Youssouf, 2016. "Unconventional monetary policy and capital flows," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 412-424.
    17. Mody, Ashoka & Taylor, Mark P & Kim, Jung Yeon, 2001. "Modelling Fundamentals for Forecasting Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(3), pages 201-216, July.
    18. Swarnali Ahmed Hannan, 2017. "The Drivers of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(02), pages 1-28, June.
    19. Byrne, Joseph P. & Fiess, Norbert, 2016. "International capital flows to emerging markets: National and global determinants," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 82-100.
    20. Frank Kwabi & Chizindu Wonu & Ernest Ezeani & Andrews Owusu & Vitor Leone, 2025. "Impacts of cross‐border equity portfolio flow and central bank transparency on financial development: The role of economic freedom and international bonds," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1319-1347, April.
    21. Liu, Zixi, 2024. "Chinese monetary policy spillovers on its international portfolio investment flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    22. P. Srinivasan & M. Kalaivani, 2015. "Determinants of Foreign Institutional Investment in India: An Empirical Analysis," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(3), pages 364-376, June.
    23. Fernandez-Arias, Eduardo & Montiel, Peter J, 1996. "The Surge in Capital Inflows to Developing Countries: An Analytical Overview," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 10(1), pages 51-77, January.
    24. Carlos Andr�s Amaya G. & Peter Rowland, 2004. "Determinants Of Investment Flows Into Emerging Markets," Borradores de Economia 2334, Banco de la Republica.
    25. Garg, Reetika & Dua, Pami, 2014. "Foreign Portfolio Investment Flows to India: Determinants and Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 16-28.
    26. Barry P. Bosworth & Susan M. Collins, 1999. "Capital Flows to Developing Economies: Implications for Saving and Investment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 30(1), pages 143-180.
    27. Boero, Gianna & Mandalinci, Zeyyad & Taylor, Mark P., 2019. "Modelling portfolio capital flows in a global framework: Multilateral implications of capital controls," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 142-160.
    28. Zeyyad Mandalinci & Haroon Mumtaz, 2019. "Global Economic Divergence and Portfolio Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1713-1730, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Viet Thanh Truc Tran & Abbas Valadkhani & Amir Moradi‐Motlagh & Reza Tajaddini, 2026. "Deposit and Lending Interest Rate Pass‐Through: Evidence From Selected Euro Area Countries," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 26(2), June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kumar, Virender & Dua, Pami, 2024. "What explains foreign portfolio investment inflows to BRICS countries?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 32-46.
    2. Ftiti, Zied & Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Louhichi, Wael & Anastasiou, Dimitris & Awijen, Haithem, 2024. "Revisiting capital flow drivers: Regional dynamics, constraints, and geopolitical influences," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    3. Beckmann, Joscha & Boonman, Tjeerd M. & Schreiber, Sven, 2024. "Expectations, sentiments and capital flows to emerging market economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    4. Tricia Mangal & Day-Yang Liu, 2020. "The impact of economic freedom on foreign portfolio investments: The case of the Caricom single market and economy," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(2), pages 213-222, March.
    5. Monica Singhania & Neha Saini, 2018. "Determinants of FPI in Developed and Developing Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 187-213, February.
    6. Swarnali A Hannan, 2018. "Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature," IMF Working Papers 2018/214, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Boonman, Tjeerd, 2023. "Have drivers of portfolio capital flows changed since the Global Financial Crisis?," MPRA Paper 116507, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Gulsah Kulali, 2026. "Foreign direct investment inflows to emerging market economies: the dynamic between global risk and country-specific risks," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1-40, May.
    9. Carlos Alba & Gabriel Cuadra & Juan R. Hernandez & Raul Ibarra, 2024. "Capital flows to emerging economies and global risk aversion during the COVID‐19 pandemic," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2804-2836, July.
    10. Özmen, Erdal & Taşdemir, Fatma, 2024. "Globalisation and governance: Thresholds for the impacts of the main determinants of capital inflows?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 168-176.
    11. Boonman, Tjeerd M., 2023. "Portfolio capital flows before and after the Global Financial Crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    12. Wishnu Mahraddika, 2021. "How effective is capital flow management? The Indonesian experience," Departmental Working Papers 2021-15, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    13. Martha López-Piñeros & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño & Miguel Sarmiento, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Portfolio Flows in an Emerging Market Economy," Borradores de Economia 1200, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    14. Muhammad Ejaz & Muhammad Shahzad & Rana Ejaz Ali Khan, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Capital Inflows in Developing Economies," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 24-32, March.
    15. Afonso, António & Alves, José & Beck, Krzysztof & Jackson, Karen, 2024. "Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: The case of developed countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    16. Choi, Sangyup & Havel, Jiri, 2025. "Geopolitical risk and U.S. foreign portfolio investment: A tale of advanced and emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    17. Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    18. Ahmet Ihsan Kaya & Lutfi Erden & Ibrahim Ozkan, 2022. "Detecting capital flow surges in developing countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3510-3530, July.
    19. McCully Tuuli, 2024. "Drivers of Portfolio Flows into Chinese Debt Securities Amidst China’s Bond Market Development," China Finance and Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 13(3), pages 64-82.
    20. Duran, Hasan Engin & Ferreira-Lopes, Alexandra, 2022. "The Revival Of The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle And Moderation Of Capital Flows After The Global Financial Crisis (2008/09)," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:25:y:2025:i:2:n:e70023. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=1369-412X .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.