IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/growch/v57y2026i2ne70138.html

Beyond Beneficiaries: Spatial Spillover Effects of Social Safety Nets on Food Security in Malawi

Author

Listed:
  • Nomore Nkhoma
  • Xiaonan Chen
  • Mingyue Wu
  • Abdul Salami Bah

Abstract

Persistent food insecurity continues to undermine development of low‐income countries despite significant investments in social protection programs. While social safety net (SSN) programs aim to stabilize household welfare, their broader community‐level effects remain underexplored. Using a balanced panel dataset from the Malawi Integrated Household Panel Survey (IHPS) from 2010–2019, we employ a Spatial Durbin Difference‐in‐Differences framework (SDM‐DID) combined with propensity score matching. Baseline estimates from two‐way fixed effects (TWFE) and Extended TWFE (ETWFE), which accounts for staggered treatment timing, both indicate positive and statistically significant effects of SSN participation on dietary diversity. The SDM‐DID results show that SSN participation improves dietary diversity among beneficiary households and generates positive spillovers to neighboring non‐beneficiary households. A focused analysis on the Social Cash Transfer program (SCTP) yields positive direct and spillover effects, confirming that results are not driven by program aggregation. Spillover effects are amplified through social networks, household income, and market access. Heterogeneity analysis suggests similar effects across gender with limited statistically differences. Regionally, effects are more pronounced in the Central and Southern regions. The findings highlight the importance of spatial spillovers in shaping program impacts, suggesting that SSNs can generate community‐wide improvements in food and nutrition security.

Suggested Citation

  • Nomore Nkhoma & Xiaonan Chen & Mingyue Wu & Abdul Salami Bah, 2026. "Beyond Beneficiaries: Spatial Spillover Effects of Social Safety Nets on Food Security in Malawi," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:growch:v:57:y:2026:i:2:n:e70138
    DOI: 10.1111/grow.70138
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70138
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/grow.70138?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yanbing Wang & Niklas Möhring & Robert Finger, 2023. "When my neighbors matter: Spillover effects in the adoption of large‐scale pesticide‐free wheat production," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(2), pages 256-273, March.
    2. Jad Chaaban & Hala Ghattas & Alexandra Irani & Alban Thomas, 2018. "Targeting mechanisms for cash transfers using regional aggregates," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 10(2), pages 457-472, April.
    3. repec:wbk:wbpubs:14098 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Tenenbaum, Victoria & Vigorito, Andrea, 2025. "Public transfers, food consumption and dietary diversity. The case of Tarjeta Uruguay Social," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Jing Li, 2026. "Big Hands Holding Small Hands: Assessing the Impact of Urban‐Rural Integration on Rural Enterprise Growth," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), June.
    6. Alessandro Carraro & Lucia Ferrone, 2024. "Feed Thy Neighbour: How Social Ties Shape Spillover Effects of Cash Transfers on Food Security and Nutrition," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 33(2), pages 130-166.
    7. Belainew Belete & Tadele Bayu, 2023. "Does Social protection improve female-headed households’ food security in Ebinat district, Ethiopia," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 2210854-221, December.
    8. Varshney, Deepak & Joshi, Pramod K. & Kumar, Anjani & Mishra, Ashok K. & Kumar Dubey, Shantanu, 2022. "Examining the transfer of knowledge and training to smallholders in India: Direct and spillover effects of agricultural advisory services in an emerging economy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. repec:iwt:jounls:h051434 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Porter, Catherine & Goyal, Radhika, 2016. "Social protection for all ages? Impacts of Ethiopia’s Productive Safety Net Program on child nutrition," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 92-99.
    11. İbrahim Bozkurt & M. Veysel Kaya, 2021. "Agricultural production index: International comparison," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(6), pages 236-245.
    12. Nomore Nkhoma & Abdul Salami Bah & Xiaonan Chen, 2025. "Do social safety net programs enhance household resilience through improved food security and child nutrition in Malawi?," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 17(6), pages 1551-1569, December.
    13. Seth Opoku Mensah & Suglo-Konbo Ibrahim & Brent Jacobs & Rebecca Cunningham & Derrick Owusu-Ansah & Evans Adjei, 2024. "Benefits of farmer managed natural regeneration to food security in semi-arid Ghana," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 41(3), pages 1177-1193, September.
    14. Panhwar Ghulam Mustafa & Shangao Wang & Gershom Endelani Mwalupaso & Yi Yu & Zhou Li, 2024. "The effect of climate-smart agriculture on productivity and cost efficiency: Insights from smallholder wheat producers in Pakistan," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(7), pages 334-348.
    15. He, Yu & Zhang, Xiaoqi & Zheng, Huan, 2025. "Impact of the Yangtze River economic belt on high-quality economic development in China: Evidence from a spatial difference-in-differences model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    16. Frank Otchere & Sudhanshu Handa, 2022. "Building Resilience through Social Protection: Evidence from Malawi," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(10), pages 1958-1980, October.
    17. Shanxia Sun & Michael S. Delgado, 2024. "Local spatial difference-in-differences models: treatment correlations, response interactions, and expanded local models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 2077-2107, November.
    18. Kyle Butts, 2021. "Difference-in-Differences Estimation with Spatial Spillovers," Papers 2105.03737, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fan, Zhenqi & Cui, Jie & Wu, Wenjing, 2026. "Spatial spillover effect of green credit on carbon emission intensity in China: The role of high-quality productive forces," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    2. Cocco, Valentin & Chakir, Raja & Mouysset, Lauriane, 2025. "Guilty or scapegoat? Land consolidation and hedgerow decline," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Egamberdiev, Bekhzod & Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Kuhn, Lena & Glauben, Thomas & Akramov, Kamiljon, 2024. "Household resilience and coping strategies to food insecurity: An empirical analysis from Tajikistan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 46(4), pages 1646-1661.
    4. Angela C. Lyons & Josephine Kass‐Hanna & Alejandro Montoya Castano, 2023. "A multidimensional approach to measuring vulnerability to poverty among refugee populations," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 2014-2045, October.
    5. Jules Gazeaud & Victor Stephane, 2023. "Productive Workfare? Evidence from Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Program," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(1), pages 265-290, January.
    6. Aregawi G Gebremariam & Elisabetta Lodigiani & Giacomo Pasini, 2024. "The Impact of Ethiopian Productive Safety Net Program on Children's Educational Aspirations and Attainments," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 33(3), pages 271-296.
    7. Mariapia Mendola & Mengesha Yayo Negasi, 2019. "Nutritional and Schooling Impact of a Cash Transfer Program in Ethiopia: A Retrospective Analysis of Childhood Experience," Development Working Papers 451, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    8. Lambon-Quayefio, Monica & Peterman, Amber & Handa, Sudhanshu & Molotsky, Adria & Otchere, Frank & Mvula, Peter & Tsoka, Maxton & de Hoop, Jacobus & Angeles, Gustavo & Kilburn, Kelly & Milazzo, Annamar, 2024. "Unconditional cash transfers and safe transitions to adulthood in Malawi," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    9. Svanidze, Miranda & Götz, Linde & Djuric, Ivan & Glauben, Thomas, 2019. "Food security and the functioning of wheat markets in Eurasia: a comparative price transmission analysis for the countries of Central Asia and the South Caucasus," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 11(3), pages 733-752.
    10. Nkhoma, Nomore & Chen, Xiaonan, 2026. "Does crop diversification enhance land productivity and resilience to food insecurity in Sub-Saharan Africa? Causal evidence from Double/Debiased Machine Learning," 100th Annual Conference, March 23-25, 2026, Wadham College, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK 397882, Agricultural Economics Society (AES).
    11. Chen, Jiafeng & Glaeser, Edward & Wessel, David, 2023. "JUE Insight: The (non-)effect of opportunity zones on housing prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    12. Thomas Assefa & Ellen McCullough & Guush Berhane, 2026. "Evaluating large‐scale government investments in fertilizer adoption: The Ethiopian experience," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 108(3), pages 874-900, May.
    13. Fiorini, Mario & Lee, Wooyong & Pfeifer, Gregor, 2024. "A Simple Approach to Staggered Difference-in-Differences in the Presence of Spillovers," IZA Discussion Papers 16868, IZA Network @ LISER.
    14. Li, Rongda & He, Jing, 2024. "FinTech development and household resilience to negative income shocks: The role of informal risk sharing," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    15. Dharmasankar, Sharada & Yoo, Hoyoung, 2023. "Assessing the main and spillover effects of Seattle's minimum wage on establishment decisions," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    16. Chakraborty Avinandan & Doremus Jacqueline & Stith Sarah, 2021. "The effects of recreational cannabis access on labor markets: evidence from Colorado," IZA Journal of Labor Economics, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 10(1), pages 1-86, January.
    17. Philip Britteon & Søren Rud Kristensen & Yiu‐Shing Lau & Ruth McDonald & Matt Sutton, 2025. "Investigating the Spillover Mechanisms of Payment Incentives on the Outcomes for Non‐Targeted Patients," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1274-1294, July.
    18. Rezitis, Anthony & Mishra, Ashok & Kumar, Shalander, . "Indians Demanding More Plant-Based Protein but Farmers' Profits Drop: Empirical Evidence to Understand the Dilemma," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 49(01).
    19. Miguel Fajardo-Steinhauser, 2023. "Peace Dividends: The Economic Effects of Colombia's Peace Agreement," Papers 2301.01843, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    20. Lee Kennedy-Shaffer & Alan Hamilton Kennedy, 2025. "Spillovers and Effect Attenuation in Firearm Policy Research in the United States," Papers 2506.01695, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:growch:v:57:y:2026:i:2:n:e70138. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0017-4815 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.