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Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Permanent Earnings Hypothesis

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  • Pan, Ming-Shiun

Abstract

The study examines the aggregate dividend behavior of U.S. corporations based on the permanent earnings hypothesis. Using annual data of aggregate earnings and dividends from 1871-1993, I find that although managers change dividends proportional to permanent earnings changes, they make revisions with a larger percentage change in dividends than in permanent earnings. The results from the post-war data show that firms follow a partial adjustment policy with a long-term dividend payout target in mind and make revisions with a delay. The quarterly data analysis yields results similar to those of the post-war annual data. Copyright 2001 by MIT Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Pan, Ming-Shiun, 2001. "Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Permanent Earnings Hypothesis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 36(1), pages 23-38, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:36:y:2001:i:1:p:23-38
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    Cited by:

    1. Frankfurter, George M. & Wood, Bob Jr., 2002. "Dividend policy theories and their empirical tests," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 111-138.
    2. Gürtler, Marc & Hartmann, Nora, 2003. "Behavioral dividend policy," Working Papers FW04V1, Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Finance.
    3. Yang, Insun & Koveos, Peter & Barkley, Tom, 2015. "Permanent sales increase and investment," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 15-33.
    4. Samih Antoine Azar, 2012. "Determinants of Cyclical Aggregate Dividend Behavior," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 2, pages 71-78, August.
    5. Samih Antoine Azar, 2013. "US Stocks and the US Dollar," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(4), pages 91-106, October.
    6. Gürtler, Marc & Hartmann, Nora, 2004. "The equity premium puzzle and emotional asset pricing," Working Papers FW10V3, Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Finance.

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