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How Long Do Congressmen Stay In Office?

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  • W. Robert Reed
  • D. Eric Schansberg

Abstract

This paper develops a methodology for calculating the expected completed lengths of U.S. congressmen's stays in office. In addition, it demonstrates how this methodology can be used to forecast the seniority structure of future Congresses. One of the major empirical findings of this paper is that it demonstrates the deficiencies of using “mean term” to make inferences about the expected length of congressmen's stays.

Suggested Citation

  • W. Robert Reed & D. Eric Schansberg, 1990. "How Long Do Congressmen Stay In Office?," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(2), pages 173-191, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:2:y:1990:i:2:p:173-191
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0343.1990.tb00029.x
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    Cited by:

    1. John Lott & W. Reed, 1989. "Shirking and sorting in a political market with finite-lived politicians," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 75-96, April.

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