IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/ausecp/v58y2019i4p398-415.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The interdependence of global oil price, China's stock price and economic policy uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Xue Gao
  • Yixin Ren
  • Xin Li

Abstract

This investigation examines the interaction among global oil price (OP), China's stock price (SP) and China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) during the period of 2005:01 and 2017:12. A rolling window Toda‐Yamamoto causality method shows a complex time‐varying relationship. Bilateral causalities between these variables mostly accompany by sharp fluctuations in global or China's economy. Taking into account the inherent consistency of this time‐varying relation, the causal steps approach shows EPU follows a partial but time‐varying mediator process during crisis periods, which suggests EPU is one of mediator variables in this transmission mechanism. The mediator role of EPU in the transmission mechanism of OP and SP has not been paid enough attention before. Our findings provide a new direction for investors from the perspective of policy changes to deal with risks caused by OP and SP fluctuations especially when the financial market experiencing huge fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Xue Gao & Yixin Ren & Xin Li, 2019. "The interdependence of global oil price, China's stock price and economic policy uncertainty," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(4), pages 398-415, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:58:y:2019:i:4:p:398-415
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12160
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8454.12160
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/1467-8454.12160?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Paul R. Gregory & Kuangli Kuang, 2020. "How Does Uncertainty in Economic Policy React to Oil Price Shocks in Australia?," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 10(2), pages 42-48.
    2. Liu, Weihua & Wang, Siyu & Lin, Yong & Xie, Dong & Zhang, Jiahui, 2020. "Effect of intelligent logistics policy on shareholder value: Evidence from Chinese logistics companies," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:58:y:2019:i:4:p:398-415. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0004-900X .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.