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Synthetic Fibres In The Wool Textile Industrya Study Of The Role Of Price In Technological Adjustment

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  • Alan A. Powell
  • Metodey Polasek
  • Harry T. Burley

Abstract

Conventional growth curves, such as the logistic and Gompertz, though both useful and successful as descriptive measures, lack economic substance. Where a new product is developed expressly to compete with an existing close substitute, any economist might reasonably expect the relative prices of the two goods to be relevant to the rate at which the innovation is adopted. Yet growth curves of the class mentioned above are functions of time only. In this paper we attempt to allow for the influence of price. The logistic law of growth remains basic to the pattern of adoption in our model. However, it is assumed that relative prices can both accelerate the rate of adoption, and affect the long-run share of the market enjoyed by the new product. (We shall use the term price-accelerated trend to designate this type of model.) Such a model is fitted to U.S. quarterly mill consumption of synthetic staples and virgin raw wool for the period 1954-1962, with some surprising results.
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Suggested Citation

  • Alan A. Powell & Metodey Polasek & Harry T. Burley, 1963. "Synthetic Fibres In The Wool Textile Industrya Study Of The Role Of Price In Technological Adjustment," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 7(2), pages 107-120, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ajarec:v:7:y:1963:i:2:p:107-120
    DOI: j.1467-8489.1963.tb00318.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Minford, Patrick, 1975. "Textile Fibre Substitution And Relative Prices," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 19(3), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Hinchy, Mike & Simmons, Phil, 1983. "An Optimal-Control Approach To Stabilising Australian Wool Prices," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 27(1), pages 1-29, April.

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