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Multivariate GARCH hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness in Australian futures markets

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  • Wenling Yang
  • David E. Allen

Abstract

We use the All Ordinaries Index and the corresponding Share Price Index futures contract written against the All Ordinaries Index to estimate optimal hedge ratios, adopting several specifications: an ordinary least squares-based model, a vector autoregression, a vector error-correction model and a diagonal-vec multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model. Hedging effectiveness is measured using a risk-return comparison and a utility maximization method. We find that time-varying generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity hedge ratios perform better than constant hedge ratios in terms of minimizing risks, but when return effects are also considered, the utility-based measure prefers the ordinary least squares method in the in-sample hedge, whilst both approaches favour the conditional time-varying multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity hedge ratio estimates in out-of-sample analyses. Copyright 2005 Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand..

Suggested Citation

  • Wenling Yang & David E. Allen, 2005. "Multivariate GARCH hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness in Australian futures markets," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 45(2), pages 301-321.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:acctfi:v:45:y:2005:i:2:p:301-321
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    File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-629x.2004.00119.x
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    Cited by:

    1. John Hua Fan & Eduardo Roca & Alexandr Akimov, 2010. "Hedging With Futures Contract: Estimation and Performance Evaluation of Optimal Hedge Ratios in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201009, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    2. Rocha, Waldemar Antonio da & Caldarelli, Carlos Eduardo, 2010. "The Dynamic Hedging Effectiveness For Soybean Farmers Of Mato Grosso With Futures Contracts Of Bm&F," Organizacoes Rurais e Agroindustriais/Rural and Agro-Industrial Organizations, Universidade Federal de Lavras, Departamento de Administracao e Economia, vol. 12(1).
    3. Dar-Hsin Chen & Leo Bin & Chun-Yi Tseng, 2014. "Hedging Effectiveness of Applying Constant and Time-Varying Hedge Ratios: Evidence from Taiwan Stock Index Spot and Futures," Journal of Risk & Control, Risk Market Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 31-49.
    4. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Ausín, M. Concepción & Galeano, Pedro, 2016. "A Bayesian non-parametric approach to asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model with application to portfolio selection," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 814-829.
    5. repec:bla:acctfi:v:57:y:2017:i:3:p:837-853 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Rozaimah Zainudin & Roselee Shah Shaharudin, 2011. "Multi Mean Garch Approach to Evaluating Hedging Performance in the Crude Palm Oil Futures Market," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 7(1), pages 111-130.
    7. Wagner Oliveira Monteiro & Rodrigo De Losso da Silveira Bueno, 2011. "Dynamic Hedging inMarkov Regimes Switching," Anais do XXXVII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 37th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 136, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    8. repec:eee:eneeco:v:63:y:2017:i:c:p:92-105 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Guo, Zhibo & White, Ben & Mugera, Amin, 2013. "Hedge Effectiveness for Western Australia Crops," 2013 Conference (57th), February 5-8, 2013, Sydney, Australia 152154, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    10. repec:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:3999-4018 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Cuong Nguyen & M. Bhatti & Aziz Hayat, 2014. "Volatility linkages in the spot and futures market in Australia: a copula approach," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(5), pages 2589-2603, September.
    12. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga & Ekerete Umoetok, 2016. "The effectiveness of index futures hedging in emerging markets during the crisis period of 2008-2010: Evidence from South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(42), pages 3999-4018, September.
    13. Bessler, Wolfgang & Leonhardt, Alexander & Wolff, Dominik, 2016. "Analyzing hedging strategies for fixed income portfolios: A Bayesian approach for model selection," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 239-256.
    14. repec:spr:eurasi:v:7:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s40821-016-0056-2 is not listed on IDEAS

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