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Algerian economy is among the imperatives of adopting a strategy of diversification or dependence on oil price fluctuations

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  • مـحـمدميلود قاسمي

    (University of Boumerdes, Algeria)

  • فاتح جاري

    (University of Boumerdes, Algeria)

Abstract

هدف هذه الورقة البحثية لتبيان مستوى التنويع الإقتصادي في الجزائر في ظل أزمة إنهيار أسعار البترول، حيث سيتم حساب التنويع الإقتصادي على مستوى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي وفق مؤشر هرفندال- هرشمان، وتبين من النتائج أن نسب التنويع الإقتصادي السائد في الجزائر وللفترة 2010-2019 هو مرهون بالتغيرات الحاصلة في أسعار البترول، حيث يأخذ مؤشر هرفندال-هرشمان نسب عالية بالموازاة مع إرتفاع أسعار البترول وهذا قبل أزمة منتصف 2014 أما بعدها وعلى إمتداد فترة التحليل شهد هذا المؤشر نسب لم تقل عن 0.20 وهذا راجع لسببين أولهما هو تراجع مساهمة قطاع المحروقات وثانيهما إلى ضعف مساهمة القطاعات الأخرى خاصة قطاعي الصناعة والفلاحة. This paper aims to show the level of economic diversification in Algeria in the light of the oil price collapse, where economic diversification will be calculated at the level of GDP according to the Hervendal-Hirschmann index, and the results of this study show that the ratios of economic diversification prevailing in Algeria and for the period 2010-2 019 is subject to changes in oil prices, where the Hervendal-Hirschmann index takes high proportions in parallel with the rise in oil prices and this is before the crisis of mid-2014, after that and then throughout the period of analysis saw ratios not less than 0.20 and this The first is due to the decline in the contribution of the hydrocarbon sector and the second to the weak contribution of other sectors, particularly industry and agriculture.

Suggested Citation

  • مـحـمدميلود قاسمي & فاتح جاري, 2020. "Algerian economy is among the imperatives of adopting a strategy of diversification or dependence on oil price fluctuations," International Journal of Economic Performance (IJEP), ALPEC The performance of Algerian economic institutions in light of international economic mobility , Boumerdes University, vol. 3(02), pages 51-67, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bjm:ijep00:v:3:y:2020:i:02:id:198
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