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Original sin in EMEs: less currency risk but more capital flow volatility
[Le « péché originel » dans les pays émergents : diminution du risque de change, mais augmentation de la volatilité des flux de capitaux]

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  • Justine Pedrono
  • Karine Ishii

Abstract

EMEs have succeeded in overcoming original sin and the resulting currency risk, transferring currency risk to international investors. As international investors are more sensitive to changes in global financial volatility, EMEs now face greater volatility in the ownership of their foreign debt, leading to an original sin redux. Les économies des marchés émergents (EME) sont parvenues à résoudre le « péché originel » et le risque de change associé, en transférant ce risque aux investisseurs internationaux. Ces derniers étant plus sensibles aux variations de la volatilité financière mondiale, les EME sont désormais confrontées à une plus grande volatilité de la détention de leur dette extérieure, conduisant à un retour du péché originel.

Suggested Citation

  • Justine Pedrono & Karine Ishii, . "Original sin in EMEs: less currency risk but more capital flow volatility [Le « péché originel » dans les pays émergents : diminution du risque de change, mais augmentation de la volatilité des flu," Eco Notepad (in progress), Banque de France.
  • Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:370
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