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Measuring the impact of industrial action on activity
[Mesurer l’effet des mouvements sociaux sur l’activité]

Author

Listed:
  • Mélanie Coueffé
  • Edouard Jousselin
  • Aldo Penalva
  • Edith Stojanovic

Abstract

What impact did industrial action in the first quarter of 2023 have on France's GDP? We propose a method for quantifying this impact, using the Banque de France's Monthly Business Survey (MBS) and macroeconomic projection models. The downturn was significant in certain sectors and areas, although catch-up effects were seen in the second quarter. Quel a été l’impact sur le PIB français des mouvements sociaux du premier trimestre 2023 ? Nous apportons une proposition de chiffrage de cet effet à l’aide de l’Enquête Mensuelle de Conjoncture (EMC) de la Banque de France et des modèles de prévisions macroéconomiques. Il a été marqué dans certains secteurs et endroits, avec toutefois des effets de rattrapage à l’œuvre au deuxième trimestre.

Suggested Citation

  • Mélanie Coueffé & Edouard Jousselin & Aldo Penalva & Edith Stojanovic, . "Measuring the impact of industrial action on activity [Mesurer l’effet des mouvements sociaux sur l’activité]," Eco Notepad (in progress), Banque de France.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:331
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