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How much do China’s regional lockdowns affect international trade?
[Confinements régionaux en Chine, quels effets sur le commerce international ?]

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  • Sebastian Stumpner

Abstract

As part of its zero-Covid policy, China uses regional lockdowns to limit the spread of the virus. This blog estimates the effect of these regional lockdowns on Chinese trade. While most lockdowns have no noticeable effect, lockdowns of very high stringency are continuing to depress trade. The particularly stringent Shanghai lockdown in April 2022 reduced aggregate Chinese trade by 3-4%. Dans le cadre de sa politique zéro-Covid, la Chine recourt à des confinements régionaux pour limiter la propagation du virus. Ce blog estime leurs effets sur le commerce chinois. Si la plupart des confinements n’ont pas d’effet visible, ils entravent néanmoins le commerce quand ils sont très sévères. Celui particulièrement strict imposé à Shanghai en avril 2022 a réduit le commerce chinois total de 3-4 %.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Stumpner, . "How much do China’s regional lockdowns affect international trade? [Confinements régionaux en Chine, quels effets sur le commerce international ?]," Eco Notepad (in progress), Banque de France.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:293
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