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The Performance of German Firms in the Business-Related Service Sector: A Dynamic Analysis

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  • Nguyen Van P.
  • Laisney F.
  • Kaiser U.

Abstract

We analyze the performance of firms in the German business-related services sector. A quarterly business survey provides the panel data base of our study. Firm performance is measured by the survey respondents’ ordinal indication of their changes in total sales. We use a first-order Markov chain and a multinomial logit specification to model the transition probabilities. Three variants of the model are estimated: a linear index model with and without unobserved firm heterogeneity and a semiparametric model. Main results are that firm size has a positive effect on firm performance, that young firms outperform older competitors, that a bank-relationship with a single creditor has a stabilizing effect and that the degree of diversification has a negative impact on firm performance. The legal status appears to have no significant effect.
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Suggested Citation

  • Nguyen Van P. & Laisney F. & Kaiser U., 2004. "The Performance of German Firms in the Business-Related Service Sector: A Dynamic Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 274-295, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:22:y:2004:p:274-295
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    JEL classification:

    • L89 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Other
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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