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Why Are Some Industries More Cyclical Than Others?

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  • Petersen, Bruce
  • Strongin, Steven

Abstract

This paper is an empirical examination of why some industries are far more cyclical than others. Using highly disaggregate panel data, the authors examine which elements of technology and market structure appear to be most closely associated with differences in cyclicality across industries. They find that durable goods industries are approximately three times more cyclical than nondurable goods industries. Within durable goods industries, the proportion of variable and quasifixed factor inputs, market concentration, and labor hoarding appear to be important determinants of cyclical behavior. In contrast, for nondurable goods industries, the authors find little systematic relationship between cyclicality and market characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Petersen, Bruce & Strongin, Steven, 1996. "Why Are Some Industries More Cyclical Than Others?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(2), pages 189-198, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:14:y:1996:i:2:p:189-98
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    1. Aleksandra Górna & Alicja Szabelska-Beręsewicz & Marek Wieruszewski & Monika Starosta-Grala & Zygmunt Stanula & Anna Kożuch & Krzysztof Adamowicz, 2023. "Predicting Post-Production Biomass Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-16, April.
    2. Michael J. Lamla & Sarah M. Lein & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2020. "Media reporting and business cycles: empirical evidence based on news data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 1085-1105, September.
    3. Siraj, Ibrahim & Hassan, M. Kabir & Maroney, Neal, 2020. "Product demand sensitivity and the corporate diversification discount," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    4. Lee, Kyeong Hun & Mauer, David C. & Xu, Emma Q., 2022. "Selling durables: Financial flexibility for limited cost pass-through," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Eirik Sjåholm Knudsen & Lasse B. Lien & Bram Timmermans & Robert Wuebker, 2022. "The more things change, the more they stay the same: Demand‐side responses to economic shocks," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1240-1255, July.
    6. Ghosal, Vivek, 2000. "Product market competition and the industry price-cost markup fluctuations:: role of energy price and monetary changes," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 415-444, April.
    7. Camacho, Maximo & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2019. "The Propagation Of Industrial Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 144-177, January.
    8. João F. Gomes & Leonid Kogan & Motohiro Yogo, 2009. "Durability of Output and Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 117(5), pages 941-986.
    9. Hsiu-Lang Chen, 2018. "Information diffusion of upstream and downstream industry-wide earnings surprises and its implications," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 751-784, October.
    10. Kim, Myeong Hyeon & Kim, Young Min & Yang, Kisung, 2022. "Understanding BOXPI — Industry portfolio perspectives," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Noam, Eli M., 2006. "Fundamental instability: Why telecom is becoming a cyclical and oligopolistic industry," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 272-284, September.
    12. Ham, Hyuna & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2022. "The effects of overnight events on daytime trading sessions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Du, Julan & He, Qing & Zhang, Ce, 2022. "Risk sharing and industrial specialization in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 599-626.
    14. McCredie, Bronwyn & Docherty, Paul & Easton, Steve & Uylangco, Katherine, 2016. "The channels of monetary policy triggered by central bank actions and statements in the Australian equity market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 46-61.
    15. Gerald A. Carlino & Keith Sill, 1996. "Common trends and common cycles in regional per capita incomes," Working Papers 96-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    16. Hundt Christian & Grün Lennart, 2022. "Resilience and specialization – How German regions weathered the Great Recession," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 66(2), pages 96-110, July.
    17. Julija Bistrova & Natalja Lace & Ludmila Kasperovica, 2021. "Enterprise Crisis-Resilience and Competitiveness," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-24, February.
    18. Mirza Aqeel Baig & Shahida Wizarat & Javed Iqbal, 2020. "How Pakistani Industries Respond to Local and World Business Cycles," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(12), pages 1480-1495, December.
    19. M.S. Konovalova & A.G. Maksimov, 2017. "On sensitivity of industries and companies to the state of economy," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1299074-129, January.
    20. Thorsten Beck & Olivier De Jonghe & Klaas Mulier, 2022. "Bank Sectoral Concentration and Risk: Evidence from a Worldwide Sample of Banks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(6), pages 1705-1739, September.
    21. Minja Bolesnikov & Milica Popović Stijačić & Mladen Radišić & Aleksandar Takači & Jelena Borocki & Dragana Bolesnikov & Paula Bajdor & Joanna Dzieńdziora, 2019. "Development of a Business Model by Introducing Sustainable and Tailor-Made Value Proposition for SME Clients," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-16, February.
    22. Knudsen, Eirik Sjåholm, 2019. "Bad weather ahead: Pre-recession characteristics and the severity of recession impact," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 118-130.
    23. Javed IQBAL, 2024. "Asymmetric Effects Of Local And Global Business Cycle Variations On The Sectoral Industrial Production In Singapore," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 19(1), pages 75-96, April.
    24. Tan, Hao & Mathews, John A., 2010. "Identification and analysis of industry cycles," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(5), pages 454-462, May.
    25. Hao Tan & John A. Mathews, 2007. "Cyclical Dynamics in Three Industries," DRUID Working Papers 07-07, DRUID, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Industrial Economics and Strategy/Aalborg University, Department of Business Studies.

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