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Svetska Privreda, Trgovina Evropske Unije I Robni Izvoz Srbije Pre Pandemije Koronavirusa (Covid-19) (The World Economy, Trade Of The European Union And Serbia'S Merchandise Exports Before The Coronavirus (Covid-19) Pandemic)

Author

Listed:
  • Radovan Kovačević

Abstract

Rast svetske privrede je usporavao tokom 2019. godine. Prognoze globalnog privrednog rasta i rasta svetske trgovine su nekoliko puta revidirane na niže stope, a bilo je primetno usporavanje industrijske proizvodnje u pojedinim zemljama. Ovaj trend je pojačan u drugoj polovini 2019. godine. Narastanje protekcionizma u svetskoj privredi usporilo je rast svetske trgovine, a slutnje o mogućoj recesiji globalnih razmera postale su sve učestalije. Zahvaljujući usložnjavanju globalnih proizvodnih mreža, produbljena je globalizacija svetske privrede. U radu se pokazuje da je rasla integrisanost Srbije u globalne proizvodne mreže, što je delovalo pozitivno na robni izvoz. Međutim, usled visokog stepena globalizacije, recesioni impulsi se brzo prenose iz jedne u drugu zemlju. Pandemija koronavirusa je dovela do zaustavljanja proizvodnje u mnogim zemljama, tako da će to nepovoljno da se odrazi na privredni rast i svetsku trgovinu. Danas je neizvesno šta će se događati u budućnosti, i kad će ova pandemija proći, tako da su i prognoze kretanja svetske privrede kratkoročne prirode i podložne su korekcijama.

Suggested Citation

  • Radovan Kovačević, 2020. "Svetska Privreda, Trgovina Evropske Unije I Robni Izvoz Srbije Pre Pandemije Koronavirusa (Covid-19) (The World Economy, Trade Of The European Union And Serbia'S Merchandise Exports Before The Coronav," Ekonomske ideje i praksa, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, issue 38, pages 7-25, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:beo:ekidpr:y:2020:i:38:p:7-25
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    izvoz i uvoz robe; privredni rast; Evropska Unija (EU); Evrozona; globalni lanci vrednosti;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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