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CDS: relación con índices accionarios y medida de riesgo

Author

Listed:
  • Bernardo León

  • Andrés Mora

Abstract

Un indicador de la crisis financiera ha sido el comportamiento de los contratos de seguros contra la cesación de pagos (CDS, por sus siglas en inglés). De esta manera, este artículo en primer lugar, toma el caso de Grecia, Italia y España y sus respectivos índices accionarios. En segundo lugar se analiza y muestra evidencia de relación existente entre el spread observado de los CDS de la república de Colombia y el índice accionario COLCAP. Seguidamente se enfoca en el valor en riesgo (VaR, por sus siglas en inglés) condicional de estos CDS en períodos antes y durante la crisis crediticia, y se encuentra que estimados de VaR bajo el supuesto de distribución normal no es adecuado en el análisis de mercado de CDS.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernardo León & Andrés Mora, 2011. "CDS: relación con índices accionarios y medida de riesgo," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 29(64), pages 178-211, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:29:y:2011:i:64:p:178-211
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.6405
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    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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