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Efectos económicos de un posible deterioro duradero en la salud general de la población española

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Hurtado

    (Banco de España)

  • Mario Izquierdo

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

Motivación En el último año se ha observado un aumento de la demanda de servicios sanitarios, cuyas causas y grado de persistencia son todavía inciertos. Si dichas dinámicas se prologaran en el tiempo y estuvieran relacionadas con un deterioro persistente en la salud general de la población española, su impacto económico podría ser significativo. Ideas principales •Las últimas olas del barómetro sanitario del Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas muestran un incremento de la demanda de servicios sanitarios en nuestro país. También se ha observado un aumento en los ocupados que pierden días de trabajo por enfermedad, incapacidad temporal o accidente. •Existe una considerable incertidumbre en cuanto a las causas y al posible grado de persistencia de estos desarrollos, algunos de los cuales parecen estar en línea con las predicciones de la literatura que estudia las secuelas del COVID-19 sobre una población ampliamente vacunada que resulta infectada. •En la medida en que estos desarrollos puedan resultar duraderos y estar asociados a un deterioro persistente en la salud general de la población española, podrían requerir un aumento estructural del gasto sanitario —aún difícil de cuantificar— y afectar negativamente —aunque con elevada incertidumbre— al producto potencial.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Hurtado & Mario Izquierdo, 2023. "Efectos económicos de un posible deterioro duradero en la salud general de la población española," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T1.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:joures:y:2023:i:01:n:20
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/29790
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demanda sanitaria; COVID-19; gasto público; producto potencial; empleo; capital; productividad.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • N30 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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