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The implosion of the Alt-A mortgage-backed securities market

Author

Listed:
  • Woodward, Luke
  • Raju, Sudhakar

Abstract

While the demise of the subprime mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market has received a great deal of attention, the implosion of the Alt-A MBS market has so far received much less attention. As recently as June 2007, annual issuance of Alt-A backed securities exceeded issuance of subprime-backed securities. The outstanding amount of Alt-A securities poses a significant systemic risk that is already becoming evident. This paper identifies the underlying causes for the deterioration of Alt-A MBS pools. While the deterioration in the subprime mortgage market was caused by lending to borrowers with poor credit, the Alt-A crisis was caused by lending to borrowers with fairly good credit who assumed excessively speculative, leveraged positions in overvalued housing markets. The paper applies value-at-risk to demonstrate that Fannie Mae's capitalisation was completely inadequate given the size of its subprime and Alt-A portfolios and its underlying loss expectations. As many of the Alt-A loans are adjustable-rate mortgages that will reset in 2009 and are moreover concentrated in the most overpriced housing markets, even more delinquencies and write-offs of Alt-A securities are in the offing.

Suggested Citation

  • Woodward, Luke & Raju, Sudhakar, 2009. "The implosion of the Alt-A mortgage-backed securities market," Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 2(2), pages 214-225, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:aza:rmfi00:y:2009:v:2:i:2:p:214-225
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Alt-A mortgages; mortgage-backed securities (MBS); collateralised mortgage obligations (CMOs); asset-backed securities (ABS); value-at-risk (VAR); subprime mortgages; structured finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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