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Estimación de la probabilidad de default: un modelo probit para los bancos argentinos

Author

Listed:
  • Felipe Klein

    (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella)

Abstract

El artículo tiene el fin de establecer un modelo que pueda predecir de alguna manera los riesgos que tienen los bancos argentinos en relación al sistema financiero del país. Como cada banco tiene un peso significante en la economía, es necesario determinar su grado de solidez, con el propósito de poder realizar un diagnóstico respecto a la estabilidad financiera en el plano agregado. Así, las autoridades podrán llevar adelante un proyecto mejor para la toma de decisiones en materia de políticas económicas. Para armar el modelo, se han recurrido a datos del BCRA.

Suggested Citation

  • Felipe Klein, 2014. "Estimación de la probabilidad de default: un modelo probit para los bancos argentinos," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., vol. 2(2), pages 88-115, Octubre.
  • Handle: RePEc:atw:epecon:v:2:y:2014:i:2:p:88-115
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    File URL: https://erevistas.uca.edu.ar/index.php/ENSAYOS/article/view/2372/2198
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Probit; financiero; macroeconomía; bancario;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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