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The Impacts of Intra-Trade on Industrialization: Evidence from COMESA

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  • Yahia, Yassin Elshain

    (School of Economics, Huazhong University of Sciences and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, P.R. Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, Khartoum, Sudan.)

  • Liu, Haiyun

    (Professor, School of Economics, Huazhong University of Sciences and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.)

  • Sirag, Abdalla

    (Department of Economics, University of Medical Sciences and Technology, Khartoum, Sudan.)

  • Shah, Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain

    (Department of Commerce and Finance, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, GC University Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.)

Abstract

This study examines the impact of intra-export on the industrialization in the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) over the period 2000 – 2018. The study used a heterogeneous dynamic Autoregressive Distributed-lag (ARDL), namely Pooled Mean Group (PMG) and Mean Group (MG) estimators. The results reveal that intra-export (lnEXT), internet (lnINT), and Human Development Index (lnHDI) have significant positive effects on the industrialization (lnMVA) in the long-run. The financial development Index (FD) exhibits a significant adverse impact on the lnMVA in the long-run, while only the lnINT confirms a significant adverse impact on the lnMVA in the short-run. The results support the established theoretical framework, particularly the endogenous approach, as well as the supply-side and demand-side capacities. These findings may provide some guidance on policies and strategies harmonization to address the supply-side and demand-side capacities, namely, the infrastructure (e.g. INT), human development and to promote industrialization in the region, ceteris paribus.

Suggested Citation

  • Yahia, Yassin Elshain & Liu, Haiyun & Sirag, Abdalla & Shah, Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain, 2020. "The Impacts of Intra-Trade on Industrialization: Evidence from COMESA," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(2), pages 75-101.
    • Handle: RePEc:asi:adprev:v:8:y:2020:i:2:p:75-101:id:206
    DOI: 10.18488/journal.107.2020.82.75.101
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