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Transfer Pricing of Multinational Corporations and Macroeconomic Volatility: Evidence from the U.S

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Ofei*

    (Zenith University College, Ghana)

  • Abieku Neizer-Ashun

    (Hampton University, Virginia)

  • George Owusu-Antwi

    (Higher Colleges of Technology, UAE)

  • Evans Darnor Maka

    (Graduate School of Public Policy, University of Tokyo, Japan)

Abstract

This paper investigates the extent of macroeconomic volatility caused by the transfer pricing behavior of multinational corporations. The study examined two possible transmission channels through which transfer pricing causes macroeconomic volatility, namely, terms of trade and budget policy channels. Using the EGARCH model with annual data on selected variables from 1980 to 2017, the paper found evidence of macroeconomic volatility caused by transfer pricing. The size of the shock from transfer pricing is high and statistically significant in the terms of trade and budget policy channels. Negative shock from multinational corporations shifting taxable income between high and low tax regimes had a larger effect than a positive shock on the country’s budget policy. The volatility caused by transfer pricing was short-lived in the terms of trade channel. However, in the budget policy channel, past volatility of transfer pricing persisted for a longer period to explain current volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Ofei* & Abieku Neizer-Ashun & George Owusu-Antwi & Evans Darnor Maka, 2018. "Transfer Pricing of Multinational Corporations and Macroeconomic Volatility: Evidence from the U.S," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 4(8), pages 266-273, 08-2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:arp:ijefrr:2018:p:266-273
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